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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #51 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Thu 9 Jan 20 01:10
permalink #51 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Thu 9 Jan 20 01:10
"Curators" are illegal and even war-criminals, but if nobody can enforce the former laws, it becomes a realm of Machiavellian maneuver among the super-rich. If you're a veteran of the New York real estate biz, the law is a series of suggestions. New York real estate has been around a long time. It's older than the USA. So modern "curators" are more like privateering warlords than spies or political operatives, but a basic geopolitical problem arises when they try to legitimize their activities and hold on to whatever they stole. Nobody has set up any system to allow that yet, and privatized global marauding goes against the Westphalian Order. Even if you conquer Ukraine, you can't get named "Lord Conqueror Duke of Ukraine." Embarrassingly, you have to fake it indefinitely.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #52 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Thu 9 Jan 20 01:10
permalink #52 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Thu 9 Jan 20 01:10
At the moment there's a big to-do in Libya as rival warlords are backed by the Turks and the Russians. In theory, this ought to lead to de-facto offshore Ottoman and Czarist colonies in Africa, a source of oil and cheap labor, or whatever they imagine they are getting there. The Libyans are so screwed-up by their Curse of Oil that they'd probably be better off as colonial slaves of the rapacious Turks and cruel Russians; at least they could get to the grocery store without being shot by snipers, and they could probably get some potatoes. However, even though Libya's getting sectioned off and colonized by curators -- apparently -- the UN, NATO, the usual power-payers, China even, they all say nothing about it. Putin and Erdogan confer privately about it, while everybody else looks in the other direction. Nobody else wants to risk conquering and pacifying Libya. They all figure, probably correctly, that it's a quagmire. So in MMXX, poor Libya is supposed to get pacified through the actions of curator warlords, packs of hired mercenaries, and fleets of killer drones. Okay: assuming that somehow works, what will Libya use for postage stamps? What kind of money will they have? What passports? Will Amazon do deliveries? Are they stateless Somalia with better-equipped white-guy marauders? What gives with that? It's so interesting.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #53 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Thu 9 Jan 20 01:11
permalink #53 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Thu 9 Jan 20 01:11
Also, "curators" don't have to be huge; they can be a fast, dinky two-man operation. Carlos Ghosn, who is just a mere common automobile millionaire, hired an ex Green-Beret and a Lebanese militiaman to escape the Japanese rule of law and smuggle him off to Lebanon. And that worked -- he got smuggled away in a pirate chest, yo-ho-ho. Millionaires didn't used to do brazen stuff like that, because they were afraid of the international order. No big reason to fret about that now.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #54 of 169: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Thu 9 Jan 20 11:41
permalink #54 of 169: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Thu 9 Jan 20 11:41
In this new reality of "all power to the billionaire oligarchs," Donald Trump's ascendance seems to fit, but he's got a problem. You can see that he's a wild bull, because he's so intimate with bullshit, but his supporters LIKE having a wild bull tearing through the house. The didn't like the decor, they wanted an excuse to redecorate. Tear it apart, and we'll rebuild it. But what happens when he's wrecked the refrigerator, uprooted the plumbing, torn through the walls, broken all the windows? He's taking out the decor you didn't like, but he's tearing through everything else. He's destroying the stuff you still want and need. You can look the other way, but sooner or later the food's spoiling and the rain's getting in. To hold power, a boss bull like Trump has to do one thing: he has to make his people feel safe. The problem with this wild bull is that he's goring everone and everything in sight. He demands loyalty but he's never loyal. Sooner or later, he's gonna be Lonesome Rhodes. It just seems inevitable. The best teflon coating wears away, sooner or later. (See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Face_in_the_Crowd_(film) if you don't get that reference.)
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #55 of 169: Angie Coiro (coiro) Thu 9 Jan 20 11:56
permalink #55 of 169: Angie Coiro (coiro) Thu 9 Jan 20 11:56
Lonesome Rhodes needed that one person willing to turn the microphone up. I don't know if anyone around Trump is willing to be that person.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #56 of 169: Kevin Welch (kwelch) Thu 9 Jan 20 12:05
permalink #56 of 169: Kevin Welch (kwelch) Thu 9 Jan 20 12:05
The microphone has been turned up plenty of times around Trump, see the infamous Access Hollywood tape. The problem is it's never been turned up on anything that was a deal-breaker for his base. Although, I've grown so cynical and morbidly impressed with his base's ability to resolve their cognitive dissonance around the man that I truly think Trump could get hot-mic'ed saying that he's secretly handing America over to communist antifa Muslim atheists and his followers would applaud this brilliant 4-D chess move that owns the libs, somehow...
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #57 of 169: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Thu 9 Jan 20 17:11
permalink #57 of 169: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Thu 9 Jan 20 17:11
I'm sure there's a line, even for his followers. But the real question is what it will take for the Senate and Justice Department, currently in his pocket, to say enough is enough.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #58 of 169: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Thu 9 Jan 20 17:18
permalink #58 of 169: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Thu 9 Jan 20 17:18
Meanwhile, we should yank the trunk of the elephant in the room: climate change. "Is it wrong to be hopeful about climate change?" https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200109-is-it-wrong-to-be-hopeful-about-cl imate-change "No individual will bend the emissions curve alone. No writer, modeling team, no forest firefighter, no environmental lawyer will carry the day. But if youre looking for hope, there might be a space in constructing something together in responsive hope. No single coral restoration programme will heal the wounds inflicted on reefs around the world, but perhaps networks offer a way forward. That collective goal, and the space of uncertainty in that 'perhaps,' is our hope."
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #59 of 169: Andrew Alden (alden) Thu 9 Jan 20 19:04
permalink #59 of 169: Andrew Alden (alden) Thu 9 Jan 20 19:04
When it comes to climate, we're all Lilliputians, but together we can lasso Gulliver.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #60 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 10 Jan 20 02:55
permalink #60 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 10 Jan 20 02:55
Via email from Brian Slesinksy: "I'm wondering if anyone wants to comment on the state of the Maker community? We might have had the last bay area Maker Faire last year, though I stopped going a while ago since it seemed like I was seeing the same stuff." This subject of the Maker Movement is of keen interest to me personally, because I was a columnist for MAKE magazine and curator of the "Casa Jasmina" maker house-of-the-future in Turin.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #61 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 10 Jan 20 02:56
permalink #61 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 10 Jan 20 02:56
"Movements," as opposed to institutions, tend to go somewhere, and then they stop. So "Making" was an eclectic tumbleweed of a lot of moving novelties that I enjoyed learning about, such as Web 2.0, open source hard ware, 3Dprinting, artisanal electronics, shareables, fabrication labs, public hacker events, sneaking weird cyberpunk DIY personal projects into dead Italian factories, and even more! I'm happy I was involved with that. It was truly illuminating, and worth every minute. Thanks to Making, I'm much more at ease with topics and activities that would likely have been forever closed to me as a career novelist. I know a lot more about material culture now, and I'm even far more personally handy than I once was. However, fifteen years is a rather long time for any "movement." Nobody talks about "Web 2.0" any more; the Internet was famously "built with O'Reilly books," but Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon, Microsoft, Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent, those vast post-Internet entities are not built with O'Reilly books, and O'Reilly was the source of Make, the way Whole Earth was the source of the WELL.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #62 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 10 Jan 20 02:58
permalink #62 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 10 Jan 20 02:58
Even the Maker Movement had to meet some bills, it couldn't run just on raw joy and sweat equity. For Make that was the magazine, selling some tools and tie-ins, and throwing big, profitable public events quietly underwritten by tech companies. Eventually they suffered a cash crunch when their discreet alliance with the corporations broke down. In MMXX, if you're a tech company enamored with making, you just build your own fab-lab in the basement and give it to the engineers as a playroom/R&D lab. You don't need hand-holding from MAKE magazine columnists. https://www.architecturaldigest.com/story/this-monogram-appliance-began-as-a-b right-idea-in-a-makerspace These big-time sponsors figured out that they could have trained professionals tinkering. They don't need a massive popular movement of random tinkerers tinkering -- that doesn't convey to them any genuine research and development benefit. Nobody tinkers up a functional and legal mass-market stove or refrigerator. Makers are hobbyists and popular-mechanics people, they mostly make toys, games, collectibles, costumes, and Burner-style FX knick-knacks that approach technology-art, device art, and machine art. Activities dear to my heart, but they're not heavy industry and they rarely scale.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #63 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 10 Jan 20 02:58
permalink #63 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 10 Jan 20 02:58
Then there's the experience of the "Makers" themselves -- as in, what are accomplishing here, what is your own end goal? Is this something you do on the weekends, like building ships in a bottle, or are you a designer/engineer light-manufacturer who is at it all day? If you're a professional craftsperson, you'll need to manufacture instead of tinkering --- because"real artists ship." You want inventory, patrons, a customer base, maybe a brick and mortar shop -- maybe you use some digital tools, but you're a self-employed skilled laborer, and good luck with it. If you don't ship any product, and you're a professional tinkerer, then you're actually into "Makertainment" rather than making. You want to record and sell your process as a form of monetizable performance-art.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #64 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 10 Jan 20 02:59
permalink #64 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 10 Jan 20 02:59
Maker-entertainment is quite a different animal than the "Maker Movement," because there's a lot more money and fame in it. This is Adam Savage pulling down Starbucks sponsorship money for harnessing an aeolopile gizmo with liquid nitrogen. https://youtu.be/aNTq7qOAFeg Okay, that monetizable Youtube stunt is super-entertaining if you ask me, but it's not "making," even though Adam shows you exactly how he makes it. It's a paid commercial for Starbucks by other means, and also, if you yourself screw around with liquid nitrogen, you're gonna get frostbite scars. Adam, by contrast, is a globe-trotting veteran TV star with numerous employees. Here in MMXX, this is the post-Maker state of the art here: Adam Savage, pro entertainer and special FX dude. I have to say I learn a lot from him, and I actually pay money to be a member of "Tested." It doesn't much surprise me that the show-biz aspects of Making would turn into show-biz. That was always the most Californian thing about it.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #65 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 10 Jan 20 03:02
permalink #65 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 10 Jan 20 03:02
As for our own"Maker House of the Future" in Turin, man, that was super. So much fun. You would not believe the free, adulatory publicity we reaped for that, especially my spouse, "The Jasmina of Casa Jasmina," the feminist maven of the "Internet of Women Things." Jasmina became famous in Turin, almost a mythical figure, because she was the hostess of this avant-garde local house "Casa Jasmina." That house was the only aspect of the Via Egeo ex-factory complex that was much frequented by Italian women. We had female astronauts and female museum curators in there. The female mayor dropped by. Some great parties, too. All of the Torino Great and Good were trying to sit on our squeaky plywood furniture. It went on for years! Today that factory complex is civilizing, normalizing, almost gentrifying. Via Egeo 16 used to be more or less a squat that everybody ignored, but it got extensively renovated and is earning money, so it makes no legal sense to have a place that is basically a weird hotel room inside the middle of a design-office space. The legal contradictions of trying to do too much at once got in our way, and also, Turin is getting rather sensitive about the out-of-control AirBnB thing. So, in Jan 15, Casa Jasmina ceases to exist. A clean exit is never that bad a fate for any act of futurism. Casa Jasmina was becoming a showplace of aging Maker gizmos from five years ago. Also, Via Egeo still has a so-called "Fab Lab" down in its basement, but I'm not sure why they need that MIT nomenclature in 2020. They could just buy the robots, routers, laser-cutters, 3DPrinters, for they've become pretty standard.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #66 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 10 Jan 20 03:03
permalink #66 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 10 Jan 20 03:03
At "Casa Jasmina" we never made any profit, because we also had a covert alliance with a corporation. In our case, it was the open-source hardware outfit "Arduino," with CEO Massimo Banzi as our maestro, theorist and gray eminence. Like a lot of hobby startups Arduino had some rough times, but they've pulled through, and at CES in Vegas this year, out came the first mainstream industrial Arduino product, the "Arduino Portenta." https://blog.arduino.cc/2020/01/07/arduino-goes-pro-at-ces-2020/ The "Portenta" is not a maker-style "innovation platform," it's an open-source heavy-duty industrial device, and why not? I dunno if it'll sell, but in terms of where the maker movement went as it developed with the years, that makes sense to me. You "innovate," and you either write down the experiment and close the lab, or else it turns into something commonplace that is no longer "innovative." That's what the calendar is all about. Don't cry if it's gone, rejoice that it was ever there.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #67 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 10 Jan 20 06:53
permalink #67 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 10 Jan 20 06:53
"Casa Jasmina" is over, but in the meantime, Internet-of-Things industry booster Stacey Higginbotham says today that the entire idea of a "smart home" has to be abandoned. If they're run in the surveillance-marketing fashion that they are today, no sane person ought to trust one. https://mailchi.mp/iotpodcast/stacey-on-iot-ces-madness?e=10392a4747 *Sometimes it's better to pleasantly waste some time on cool Maker hobbies than it is to toss billions of dollars in VC money out the window.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #68 of 169: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Fri 10 Jan 20 08:27
permalink #68 of 169: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Fri 10 Jan 20 08:27
I was never a committed maker, though I had connections to Make Magazine and was part of an installation, at the first Austin Maker Faire, on the "DIY house of the future." Mostly smoke and mirrors, that installation had nothing to do with the Internet of Things smart home/wired home mythology. It was focused more on making than information systems: with advances in building technologies and materials, we could have user-configurable homes, flexible modular structures. Art generated from resident brainwaves. Consoles for user-configured electronic murals and music. Movable walls and configurable rooms. But I was more drawn to the culture than to the practice of making, which had its beginnings with Whole Earth ("access to tools and ideas"). The Whole Earth project was my most compelling influence as an adult. It brought me here, to the WELL, and it encouraged my eclectic, generalist mindset. I miss the Whole Earth/Point Foundation organization and its many outputs, but I see the "tools" aspect reflected in maker culture. We need a project to manifest, again, the spirit of self-directed experimentation and adventure. A framework for the curious, discarding passive consumerism for active tinkering. Bruce also mentioned Stacey Higginbotham's piece rightly acknowledging that much of the "Internet of Things" framework has been out of whack. What was missing - a strategic understanding of what users would want in a smart home, vs a bunch of gadgets wired together without a clear overriding concept of the value of that integration. I like that I can control my thermostat from my smart phone, but I don't need my thermostat to talk to my refrigerator or my stove. It would be more useful if my home could gather data about the environment and manage energy use based on some set of user-guided parameters, and do that with complete security and trust. Also Pliny Fisk and I were talking years ago about building just that kind of home, and networking it with the neighborhood, so that there would be cooperative targeting of energy goals, and forms of sharing so far undefined. There could be a gamification aspect, as well. As a by-product, you would have a more robust relationship with your neighbors. I don't see that happening anywhere, at least not yet. My last post mentioned climate change, and I'll repeat part of the bit I quoted from a BBC article: "... if youre looking for hope, there might be a space in constructing something together in responsive hope. No single coral restoration programme will heal the wounds inflicted on reefs around the world, but perhaps networks offer a way forward." Maybe we could deploy maker energy and IoT innovation, and build popular networks of response to the crisis. I say popular as distinct from government: it's clear that world governments are failing to respond, so it's up to the rest of us to address the problem.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #69 of 169: Bruce Fox (brucefox) Sat 11 Jan 20 16:31
permalink #69 of 169: Bruce Fox (brucefox) Sat 11 Jan 20 16:31
Hi Folks, Some newish things coming up in the last couple of weeks: The Americans know who you are. The Americans listen to what you say. The Americans know where you are. The Americans can smite you from afar with no warning. These are characteristics that only used to be ascribed to the gods. The Americans are doing these things (for good or ill) on a regular basis in this last decade and pretty much no one else in the world can put the combination together. But, like the gods of old, the leadership doesn't seem to have the best outcomes for mankind as the central goal. And the Iranians, trusting in their god, shot off what must have been the entire year's budget for ballistic missiles in one go, with a 26% failure rate and managed to not actually hurt anyone. So some anti-aircraft unit got "buck fever" and took out an airliner (oh praise allah). These nitwits, warned buy their generals to shut down civil aviation for the hostilities went for the money and kept the airport open. I don't like or support Mr. T but it is clear there are dimmer bulbs in the leadership of the world. So I wonder, will the next general of the Quds force want to be out and about rallying the militias of the middle east when he knows the Americans know who he is, listen to his every radiated conversation, know his location, and can center punch his moving car with a 50 Kg missile pulling the trigger half the world away?
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #70 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 11 Jan 20 23:50
permalink #70 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 11 Jan 20 23:50
Speaking of artists who can make unlikely contraptions in their garage, the San Francisco Museum of Modern Art is having a retrospective show of the technology art work of Rafael Lozano-Hemmer. He is definitely one of the most advanced and capable tech-artists of this century. If you ever want to light up an entire city with interactive lasers, Rafael is your guy. https://www.wired.com/beyond-the-beyond/2020/01/rafael-lozano-hemmer-san-franc isco-moma/ He's also the only artist I know who is Mexican-Canadian, which seems like a really cool thing to be when you think about it.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #71 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sun 12 Jan 20 00:13
permalink #71 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sun 12 Jan 20 00:13
Heres a nice retrospective of Electronic Dance Music in the last decade. Youll note that EDM has some inherent youth appeal because your Boomer parents dont like it, but also its the only form of pop music production that seems to be technically advancing. Nobodys done anything new or remarkable with electric guitars in quite a while they have become as stable as the theremin, which, in the year MMXX, is one hundred years old. Mankind has had an entire ecentury of electronic music . https://pitchfork.com/features/article/2010s-reverberations-of-edm-skrillex-ze dd/ EDM has got new methods of democratized production, with YouTube tutorials, Ableton plug-ins, and sample packs you can buy on line. And then, if youre a big draw and youve gotten to the arena stage, you can wire up a bunch of LED billboards and put on a garish multimedia show thats basically a traveling theme-park. And thats monetizable! Wow! Whatever happens to musicians will happen to everybody, and really, the ruthless punishment these artists absorb, while continuing somehow to survive and emit more or less coherent noises, it just astonishes me. Symphony orchestras and opera still somehow exist in our world, next to these musical EDM entrepreneurs who squeak by like self-employed circuit-bending crafts people from the Maker Movement.
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #72 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sun 12 Jan 20 03:06
permalink #72 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sun 12 Jan 20 03:06
*Okay, maybe it was a bit cruel of me to claim that the guitar is as stable as the theremin, because of course you can plug grandpa's electric guitar into an FX box that is basically an EDM rig. https://neuraldsp.com/quad-cortex *Lookah all the knobs and buttons on that! "Quad Cortex is the most powerful floor modeler on the planet. With 2GHz of dedicated DSP from its Quad-Core SHARC® architecture, this ludicrous amount of processing capacity provides limitless sound design possibilities."
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #73 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sun 12 Jan 20 03:08
permalink #73 of 169: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sun 12 Jan 20 03:08
<scribbled by bruces Sun 12 Jan 20 03:08>
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #74 of 169: Gary Gach (ggg) Sun 12 Jan 20 07:11
permalink #74 of 169: Gary Gach (ggg) Sun 12 Jan 20 07:11
<70> If I may pause for a moment on the San Francisco connection here it makes sense that SF MOMA is presenting this, rather than, say, San Jose Museum of Art, now that the two cities have made an historic handshake: Silicon Valley keeps the hardware, San Francisco explores the software. It's a leap to say that rock&roll lightshows of the '60s have evolved and transformed, but the fact is light is becoming an element in public spaces here. No flying billboards yet, as from out of Blade Runner. It's still all noncommercial and arty. Salesforce Tower has a different "movie" that plays in its peak every night, barely recognizable images taken from daily life transformed into shifting shapes and color form. The Bay Bridge is also a nightly lightshow of sorts thanks to an outfit called Illuminate.org. Their latest, in Grace Cathedral, sold out for 2019 the moment it was announced: a projector of 300,000 lumens has been hoisted up and fastened into the flying buttresses to create a 100-foot curtain of shifting light and color, in a space beside the interfaith chapel, where the labyrinth sits, in a 15-minute composition of music and light. https://gracecathedral.org/events/grace-light/
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State of the World 2020: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #75 of 169: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Sun 12 Jan 20 07:39
permalink #75 of 169: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Sun 12 Jan 20 07:39
This talk about lightshows and projections makes me think of Luke Savisky's "Eye of Texas" projection on New Year's Eve 2006 in Austin: https://www.austinchronicle.com/arts/2008-02-08/589099/ Luke (https://lukesavisky.com/) has always been an ambitious and creative video artist. Ahead of his time - he was doing this sort of thing back in the 90s. The projections just kept getting larger. Also around 2005-2006, while working with the Digital Convergence Initiative here in Austin, I was engaged in speculative converations with Kim Smith, who was looking ahead of the curve with flat screen development. Kim saw the potential to have flat screens everywhere, including massive displays. Prescient - I see screens everywhere, some scaled to immensity. Diverse shadows on our 21st century cave walls... What will the 2020s bring? More light, less shadow?
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