Inkwell: Authors and Artists
Topic 105: Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #176 of 318: Linda Castellani (castle) Fri 9 Mar 01 15:57
permalink #176 of 318: Linda Castellani (castle) Fri 9 Mar 01 15:57
Yes, do let's keep this dialog going! Just for formality's sake, since the two weeks is up and I want to acknowledge that, I'm going to say thank you very, very much to Peter and Randy and Phred for such a fast-paced interesting discussion and for your reactions to a breaking story as it happened. You are more than welcome to continue as long as you like.
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #177 of 318: Philippe Habib (phabib) Fri 9 Mar 01 16:01
permalink #177 of 318: Philippe Habib (phabib) Fri 9 Mar 01 16:01
I agree with the predictions of disaster for the summer. With only 40% of need nailed down by long term contracts, we will be as dependent on the spot market as ever.
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #178 of 318: Fuzzy Logic (phred) Sat 10 Mar 01 00:47
permalink #178 of 318: Fuzzy Logic (phred) Sat 10 Mar 01 00:47
I appreciate everyone bearing with the windy (er, sorry) discussion here. There has been a lot going on over the past two weeks -- a rather pivotal time in retrospect, I think. Meanwhile, I heartily recommend Peter's book (Reaping the Wind, Island Press, you know the rest!) and hope we don't have to talk about the road not taken 20 years from now.
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #179 of 318: Paul Bissex (biscuit) Sat 10 Mar 01 13:24
permalink #179 of 318: Paul Bissex (biscuit) Sat 10 Mar 01 13:24
Thanks Peter, Randy, and Fred!
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #180 of 318: windblown (satyr) Sat 10 Mar 01 16:40
permalink #180 of 318: windblown (satyr) Sat 10 Mar 01 16:40
<174> taking the leap to form a company to bring windpower offshore, > where the winds are stronger and the water makes it a natural to > produce hydrogen You could do this now, using windpower to compress air to liquid form (and using the liquified air and heat extracted from coastal water, or waste heat from a conventional plant, to power an onshore generation plant), then add electrolysis later. You're going to need the compression and pressurized storage anyway...
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #181 of 318: Alpha 10 (rmt) Sat 10 Mar 01 21:47
permalink #181 of 318: Alpha 10 (rmt) Sat 10 Mar 01 21:47
Yes, you could. But the key goal is the production of hydrogen as a transportable fuel, in several forms and end uses. Since the electrolysis is such a small percentage of the electricity produced, and the performance by going offshore is so enhanced, we might as well use the extra free fuel to create the end product. The wind ships can also cable power back to shore where appropriate. We ask you to envision that twenty years down the road, there are tens of thousands of these wind ships, each 12 - 15 MW, on both sides of the Atlantic and Pacific, and potentially seas like the Carribean or Great Lakes. The technology will prove to be more efficient for the production of power on land as well, with the ability to harness stronger aloft winds due to greater turbine height.
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #182 of 318: Brian Slesinsky (bslesins) Sat 10 Mar 01 22:44
permalink #182 of 318: Brian Slesinsky (bslesins) Sat 10 Mar 01 22:44
What about storms?
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #183 of 318: windblown (satyr) Sat 10 Mar 01 23:38
permalink #183 of 318: windblown (satyr) Sat 10 Mar 01 23:38
> Since the electrolysis is such a small percentage > of the electricity produced Guess I'm missing something here. Is that because you're cabling the power back most of the time and only using surplus power to produce hydrogen? Or is there another way of using electrical power to produce hydrogen from sea water besides electrolysis? And what about energy payback? How long will it take one of these windships to produce enough power to build another one?
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #184 of 318: Alpha 10 (rmt) Sun 11 Mar 01 11:56
permalink #184 of 318: Alpha 10 (rmt) Sun 11 Mar 01 11:56
i meant to say that the DESALINIZATION energy percentage is small, and the rest of the energy is used for electrolysis to produce hydrogen. As for storms, let 'em rip, layback angle in 120 mph winds is less than twenty degrees.
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #185 of 318: windblown (satyr) Sun 11 Mar 01 14:39
permalink #185 of 318: windblown (satyr) Sun 11 Mar 01 14:39
Desalinization? Now there's an application for the low-grade waste heat available from the condensation coils in an air compression and liquefaction operation. ;-) Sorry, don't mean to be taking the wind out of your turbines; I'm just still enthralled with the potential for the use of liquefied air as an energy storage medium, since it involves neither exotic materials (unlike fuel cells) nor combustion. I haven't done the research, but I'm sure its energy content by unit volume (the primary factor when dealing with pressurized storage) would be considerably lower than that of liquid hydrogen, so it's not really a potential substitute for a lot of applications - most, probably - but it might be preferable in some situations, like where water is scarce or portability of the 'fuel' isn't a consideration, since compression pumps are simpler technology than electrolytic cells, and liquid air is less dangerous than liquid hydrogen, and probably cheaper for a given power capacity (rate of energy storage or use). Hydrogen requires that the energy be available in electrical form to supply the electrolytic cells. With air compression, you could hook the pumps directly to your turbines and only convert to electrical form as the liquefied air was revaporized (need a source of low-grade heat for this!) to run the generator, and a whole windfarm could feed compressed air to a single condenser/storage/vaporization/generation facility, taking advantage of whatever economy of scale there might be and affording the opportunity to save heat from the condensation for the revaporization stage. I realize that you and others have put a lot of effort into making _direct_ wind-to-electric conversion economically practical, and I'm not suggesting you start over from scratch. Nearly all of that experience would be applicable. You've already done the hard part. Inserting an air-compression/expansion cycle between the turbines and the generator would neatly solve the intermittent source problem, without the added complication of electrolytic/fuel cells and dealing with a potentially dangerous commodity. In fact I'm not suggesting that you abandon the hydrogen economy dream at all, just that you augment it, where appropriate, with simpler technologies that are adequate to particular applications.
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #186 of 318: Fuzzy Logic (phred) Sun 11 Mar 01 16:09
permalink #186 of 318: Fuzzy Logic (phred) Sun 11 Mar 01 16:09
The hydrogen thing is a long-term bet that is probably pretty good looking in the long term but has a large number of infrastructure issues to deal with. But someone's gotta be working on it. Meanwhile, I'd sure like to see us in the west stay ahead of Texas in terms of installed wind power. And someone really ought to go take a look at that Luz concentrated-trough solar facility in the Mojave and roll out a bunch of that in the belt running from southern Idaho to southeastern Oregon to eastern Nevada to Arizona and into southern Cal. That would complete the loop of a very nice hydro-wind-solar triad to keep renewable energy flowing in the west throughout the year, at relatively stable production rates year round when averaged across all three technologies.
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #187 of 318: Alpha 10 (rmt) Sun 11 Mar 01 18:02
permalink #187 of 318: Alpha 10 (rmt) Sun 11 Mar 01 18:02
>>> I haven't done the research, but I'm sure its energy content by unit volume (the primary factor when dealing with pressurized storage) would be considerably lower than that of liquid hydrogen, so it's not really potential substitute for a lot of applications - most, probably You've answered your own question. Hydrogen in its varied forms is a substitute for fossil fuels (and nuclear electricity), meaning we make the transition from a society based on pollution to a clean renewable one. And if the push to convert to the "long term" hydrogen economy doesn't start today, twenty years overdue, when does it begin? If not now, why would all the auto manufacturers have hydrogen vehicles on the drawing boards or under test, why would Boeing and Airbus have hydrogen aircraft under development?
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #188 of 318: windblown (satyr) Sun 11 Mar 01 18:57
permalink #188 of 318: windblown (satyr) Sun 11 Mar 01 18:57
I'm not arguing against hydrogen. It's a fine fuel and a good idea. I'm only arguing that there are circumstances when a _fuel_ really isn't needed, only generic energy storage, and in some of those circumstances liquid air (combined with stored heat or a plentiful supply of low-grade heat from the environment) would be just the thing. (Quit arguing with me and I'll shut up... ;-)
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #189 of 318: Peter H. Asmus (spacedebris) Mon 12 Mar 01 08:21
permalink #189 of 318: Peter H. Asmus (spacedebris) Mon 12 Mar 01 08:21
Good morning everyone. Moving a bit slow after the B-Day extrazaganza yesterday. I think the hydrogen transition, whatever its exact configuration, needs to become part of our long-term energy strategy. Hey, car companies are talking about it. Technologies such as fuel cells can be used in cars and as stationary power plants. We need BIG PICTURE thinking now, and have to start thinking through the infrastructure needs. I agree with Phred on solar thermal for solar farms. Solar PV is best for distributed generation, and wind farms are cheaper than solar farms, but we should be harnessing as much renewable energy was we can. The West has such tremendous solar and wind resources. We've really only just begun. Of course, dish stirling systems look better than the parabolic trough systems on paper, but little commercialization has occurred. What do folks make of the recent news that the power crisis has been manufactured by the big generators like Dynegy and Duke. Do the stats that have come out prove that we've all been hoodwinked? What about growth in demand outside of California. Is that one of the missing pieces in this analysis? How can we best harness the anger over prices spikes into concrete political acts that will get us closer to renewable, sustainbale energy future?
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #190 of 318: Brian Slesinsky (bslesins) Mon 12 Mar 01 13:23
permalink #190 of 318: Brian Slesinsky (bslesins) Mon 12 Mar 01 13:23
I wonder if windmills used to power a desalinization plant would be economical all by itself? (Remember California's other crisis that will come back someday: drought.)
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #191 of 318: Philippe Habib (phabib) Mon 12 Mar 01 15:17
permalink #191 of 318: Philippe Habib (phabib) Mon 12 Mar 01 15:17
If powering a desanilization plant with electricity makes sense, then powering the pumps directly with windmills and skipping 2 conversion of energy seems to make even more sense. This seems like an ideal place for a tethered ocean plant. You'd build a portable plant on a barge and connect it to shore through a long flexible plastic tube. Having a few of these scattered around the country would be good not just for California's droughts but also for the tornadoes that disrupt clean water supplies in the Southern states.
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #192 of 318: Alpha 10 (rmt) Mon 12 Mar 01 16:16
permalink #192 of 318: Alpha 10 (rmt) Mon 12 Mar 01 16:16
I haven't looked at desalinization directly so i can't comment, though i'm aware of some site-specific studies. The reason it's economical for wind ships is that we're going offshore to combine the extra available windpower with the plentiful seawater to make currently more valuable transportable fuels.
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #193 of 318: Fuzzy Logic (phred) Mon 12 Mar 01 20:19
permalink #193 of 318: Fuzzy Logic (phred) Mon 12 Mar 01 20:19
Your best desalination technology is commercially deployed today in Israel, which has an abundance of sun and engineers and a lack of potable water. Luz grew up in that environment but branched off into electricity generation. I don't have high hopes for the large-scale concentrator technologies in solar (the Stirling engine, which is sort of like a really big steerable telescope except you want it pointed at the sun all the time, rather than never; the other technology is the molten-salt power tower thing like they have at Barstow with a field of steerable mirrors). Both of these are engineering kludges, frankly, even if they are highly efficient in theory. The Luz technology has the advantage of being thoroughly low-tech and reliable even though it has a lower conversion efficiency.
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #194 of 318: Fuzzy Logic (phred) Mon 12 Mar 01 20:22
permalink #194 of 318: Fuzzy Logic (phred) Mon 12 Mar 01 20:22
Here's a press release from Green Mountain power with a nice pic of the Luz solar field in the Mojave, along with one of the burning questions of the moment, which is why SCE has moved so relentless to shut down their payment stream: http://www.greenmountain.com/learnmore/ens/2001/1/22/2001GM-01-22-05.html
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #195 of 318: Fuzzy Logic (phred) Mon 12 Mar 01 20:26
permalink #195 of 318: Fuzzy Logic (phred) Mon 12 Mar 01 20:26
My bad, that's an Environment News Service piece picked up from a Green Mountain Energy Company site (GMEC is the former subsidiary of Green Mountain Power, the Vermont utility; GMEC is now controlled by wacko Texas billionaire Sam Wyly, the guy who ran attack ads on John McCain for being not pro-solar enough during the New York Republican primary last year...)
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #196 of 318: Philippe Habib (phabib) Tue 13 Mar 01 09:41
permalink #196 of 318: Philippe Habib (phabib) Tue 13 Mar 01 09:41
In other windmill news, US Fish and Wildlife has ordered that condors not be released near Altamont out of fear of the Cuisinart effect. They claim that 1025 birds were killed by windmills between 1992 and 1998 and they don't want to take that risk with the endangered condors.
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #197 of 318: windblown (satyr) Tue 13 Mar 01 12:56
permalink #197 of 318: windblown (satyr) Tue 13 Mar 01 12:56
> I don't have high hopes for the large-scale concentrator technologies > in solar Again, storage is key. Without it your generation capacity drops off every time a cloud passes between you and the sun, and ends abruptly at sundown. With it you can cruise through a partly cloudy day without a blip and continue generation into the evening. And water makes a great storage medium, given the wherewithal to build large pressure vessels, able to handle the high end of a useful work range of pressures - at least a few hundred psi, I would think. Say you had a million gallons and a working range of 500-600 psi, and could maintain 600 psi with your generator running full bore through a day of 50% of potential insolation. How many kilowatt hours could you generate before the pressure dropped below 500 psi? (A million gallons might be way short of what would be needed for a plant of any size, but it's a nice ballpark figure for the purpose of discussion.)
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #198 of 318: Peter H. Asmus (spacedebris) Wed 14 Mar 01 10:34
permalink #198 of 318: Peter H. Asmus (spacedebris) Wed 14 Mar 01 10:34
Getting back to the bird and condor issues, folks may want to check out p. 218 through 220 in my book. The Condor issue has long plagued the wind industry -- but there is a lot more to this issue than it migth appear on the surface. Large real estate developers, as well as nuclear advocates, have long used the bird mortality issue to frustrate wind power development. I love the idea of moving Condor populations to the Pinnacles, where I used to go on a annual spring hike because a friend lived nearby. Condors will only add to the splendor of that place. Bird kills in the Altamont is the focus of my appendix. A lot of birds are killed out at the Altamont, but we still don't know whetehr long-term populations of golden eagles are in jeopardy. What about the Native Americans who rely upon the feathers of golden eagles for their magical rituals? Randy, do you want to talk about some of the material cut from my book regarding your experiences with Native elders and the issue of bird kills at the Altamont? Do we close airports because they kill birds? Do we stop building glass skyscrapers because they killbirds?
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #199 of 318: Philippe Habib (phabib) Wed 14 Mar 01 11:47
permalink #199 of 318: Philippe Habib (phabib) Wed 14 Mar 01 11:47
I posted that here because I know you guys are up on the issue and that you could provide a lot of good info.
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Peter Asmus - Reaping the Wind, and special guest Randy Tinkerman
permalink #200 of 318: Fuzzy Logic (phred) Wed 14 Mar 01 13:08
permalink #200 of 318: Fuzzy Logic (phred) Wed 14 Mar 01 13:08
Pete West from the Renewable Northwest Project (who's in the book) told me yesterday that Audubon, up here in Oregon anyway, is being more reasonable about this issue now. One of the things is to get people away from generic claims on this and focus on the specifics of a given site. If that means more employment for field biologists, hey, I'm all for that.
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