Inkwell: Authors and Artists
Topic 561: State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
inkwell.vue.561
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #26 of 57: Paulina Borsook (loris) Wed 7 Jan 26 09:18
permalink #26 of 57: Paulina Borsook (loris) Wed 7 Jan 26 09:18
thanx for the indepth ibiza response. how self-sufficient is ibiza?
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #27 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Wed 7 Jan 26 09:23
permalink #27 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Wed 7 Jan 26 09:23
Like Bruce, I find myself gazing at the last course of life's meal,â
and wondering how to pay the bill when the check comes. And whetherâ
I should leave a tip.
Getting old, I see clearly how so many things change, how few thingsâ
persist - and nothing lasts forever. Austin, Texas, where I live, isâ
a model of growth and change. Counterculture types who've livedâ
here, like me, for 50-60 years have trouble finding recognizableâ
bits of the practices and traditions and actual places onceâ
prominent. The vital music scene that helped put Austin on the mapâ
is fading - so many musicians have died or grown older. In 2025 weâ
lost bass player Speedy Sparks and guitarist/songwriter Joe Ely,â
both of whom I would've thought immortal, a few years ago. Localâ
public radio, once known for its blends of roots Americana, cosmicâ
cowboy twang, modern jazz, and John Aielli's anything-goes morningâ
show Eklektikos, spun off a separate channel for even more diverseâ
musical blends, a lot of it urban contemporary, pop rock, mostlyâ
twang-free from what I hear. Mention the Armadillo Worldâ
Headquarters in mixed company and you're liable to get blank staresâ
from anyone under 60.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #28 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Wed 7 Jan 26 09:23
permalink #28 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Wed 7 Jan 26 09:23
Austin's more urban, a skyline now overgrown with 'scrapers, a cityâ
that appreciates and supports fine food and fine art... and a cityâ
that has kept one aspect over the decades, its comfort withâ
weirdness. But we might be losing that, as well...
inkwell.vue.561
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #29 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Wed 7 Jan 26 09:24
permalink #29 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Wed 7 Jan 26 09:24
As I was saying, the local Austin music scene has expanded andâ
fragmented, but that's not just a local phenomenon, and it's notâ
just music. Cultural expansion and fragmentation has increased, orâ
at least it's become more obvious through the Babelian aspects ofâ
social media. Weird pulses of chaotic, then coherent, then moreâ
chaotic...
It's winter. The oak tree in our garden has no leaves.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #30 of 57: John Coate (tex) Wed 7 Jan 26 10:11
permalink #30 of 57: John Coate (tex) Wed 7 Jan 26 10:11
What would they say if you pulled out your Oat Willie Power Hitter?
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #31 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Wed 7 Jan 26 10:55
permalink #31 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Wed 7 Jan 26 10:55
"That's the weirdest looking vape...!"
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #32 of 57: The ineluctable modality of the risible. (patf) Wed 7 Jan 26 11:30
permalink #32 of 57: The ineluctable modality of the risible. (patf) Wed 7 Jan 26 11:30
I first came to the Bay Area in 1984, when California's populationâ
was 25.84 million. I've been here since minus 6 years, 1989-1995,â
in Tokyo although my wife and I (and our son when he was that age)â
travel relatively frequently to SE Asia where she's originally from.â
Today California's population is 39.1 million - 51.4% increase. â
Sure feels it to me although I think it's also age that when I'm,â
for example, out on the road, my first rule at 68 is stay out of theâ
way. Note that the rightmost lane is the secondary, but possiblyâ
faster, passing lane on the highway.
So what are the comparable number fors Texas? 16.01 mln -> 31.29â
mln. A 95.5% increase. Ouch.
I've never lived in Texas but did travel across it once in theâ
winter of 1982. East Texas looked familiar - West Texas did not. â
First discovered the Permian Basin in West Texas which, if anything,â
has become even more relevant to the world at large.
I've been thinking that if the US economic system was bookended, inâ
the 19th and 20th Cs, by New York to the east and Illinois (Chicago)â
to thew west the view forward and maybe now is that it's bookendedâ
by Texas and California. They are, to some extent, differentâ
economic and political experiments and I'm not sure that's a badâ
thing.
I was thinking I'd like to do a John McPhee on Ibiza (or theâ
Balearics more generally) but then thought, no that would be largelyâ
geology (although with some very good prose). But then it occurredâ
to me: what I'd really like is Fernand Braudel on the Balearics. â
I've read pretty much everything he ever wrote. If the Balaericsâ
were there (long time ago) it was in passing. But oh yes, maybeâ
they can be seen, historically, as an extension of Catalan culture.
inkwell.vue.561
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #33 of 57: The ineluctable modality of the risible. (patf) Wed 7 Jan 26 11:45
permalink #33 of 57: The ineluctable modality of the risible. (patf) Wed 7 Jan 26 11:45
number fors [Texas]? Looks like I added that s in the wrong place. â
Another thing that's gotten worse with age is my proofreading.
Hmm, what would be the regex that would move the s from for toâ
number? That too feels tiresome. But wait a min - there's ChatGPT.â
b(number)s+for(s)b
I'm a retired software engineer. The occupational hazard of prettyâ
much every occupation is that you, to some extent, become thatâ
occupation. So take care.
inkwell.vue.561
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #34 of 57: The ineluctable modality of the risible. (patf) Wed 7 Jan 26 11:48
permalink #34 of 57: The ineluctable modality of the risible. (patf) Wed 7 Jan 26 11:48
It's hard to shake these reflexes. Show your work (moreover [evenâ
more importantly] check what the LLM gave you).
https://imgur.com/a/RIs87Gx
inkwell.vue.561
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #35 of 57: John Coate (tex) Wed 7 Jan 26 11:49
permalink #35 of 57: John Coate (tex) Wed 7 Jan 26 11:49
Permian Basin: once in the early 70s I camped alone at Monahansâ
Sandhills State Park near Odessa. There was nobody else in theâ
campground. I slept in a sleeping bag on a cot outside. The nightâ
was uneventful though when I woke up in the morning my cot wasâ
surrounded with a variety of pretty large animal tracks.
inkwell.vue.561
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #36 of 57: The ineluctable modality of the risible. (patf) Wed 7 Jan 26 12:34
permalink #36 of 57: The ineluctable modality of the risible. (patf) Wed 7 Jan 26 12:34
I confess that I used ChatGPT again. Not only that but this is an Xâ
post. (I've sinned twice). The point though is to compare aâ
characterization of wind in northern Europe, on X, with Texas -â
which is basically the US's answer to a large-scale wind experiment.
https://x.com/cremieuxrecueil/status/2008670504400666869?s=20
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #37 of 57: The ineluctable modality of the risible. (patf) Wed 7 Jan 26 12:42
permalink #37 of 57: The ineluctable modality of the risible. (patf) Wed 7 Jan 26 12:42
The underlying ChatGPT conversation is here:
https://chatgpt.com/share/695ec280-517c-8009-95a0-2b919db49f34
Do data centers in Texas actually accept curtailment? I'm not sureâ
that makes sense to me unless those are non-AI, and non-critical,â
data centers.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #38 of 57: Andrew Alden (alden) Wed 7 Jan 26 13:18
permalink #38 of 57: Andrew Alden (alden) Wed 7 Jan 26 13:18
2026 is the year we'll drown in AI-driven crap, even in 80s-era text
conversation.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #39 of 57: The ineluctable modality of the risible. (patf) Wed 7 Jan 26 13:28
permalink #39 of 57: The ineluctable modality of the risible. (patf) Wed 7 Jan 26 13:28
Yes. I'm aware that that's at, or close to, the prevailing opinionâ
on The Well. There's some truth to this but it's not the completeâ
truth.
I found ChatGPT's comparison of wind in northern Europe vs Texasâ
useful.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #40 of 57: Mary Mazzocco (mazz) Wed 7 Jan 26 14:46
permalink #40 of 57: Mary Mazzocco (mazz) Wed 7 Jan 26 14:46
THE DRIFT OS GETTING KIND OF DEEP IN HERE
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #41 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Wed 7 Jan 26 15:47
permalink #41 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Wed 7 Jan 26 15:47
Yes, I've been wondering about those last few posts. On the otherâ
hand, "State of the World" is a very broad topic...
As I sit hear tonight I'm feeling a sense of emergency related toâ
events in the USA and the Western Hemisphere. I should probablyâ
sleep on my current thoughts before I post anything... if I canâ
sleep.
inkwell.vue.561
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #42 of 57: John Coate (tex) Wed 7 Jan 26 18:52
permalink #42 of 57: John Coate (tex) Wed 7 Jan 26 18:52
Sorry. Brief escape from the state of the world. Guilty as charged.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #43 of 57: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Thu 8 Jan 26 01:07
permalink #43 of 57: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Thu 8 Jan 26 01:07
On the sentimental subject of Austinites, I can't help but plug theâ
fact that Richard Linklater is in Ibizan cultural news this week. â
Linklater's a quite genuine keep-Austin-weird Austinite character,â
and yet he can make a European art film as soon as look at one. â
I'm touched that tolerant Spanish intellectuals would think thatâ
Linklater is cute, that they would cordially pat his back and nod inâ
approval when he backpacks into Paris and somehow pretends to beâ
Jean-Luc Godard.
Also Linklater made his film in French and premiered it at Cannesâ
and got an eleven-minute standing ovation. Liklater's not evenâ
PRETENDING to be an internationally significant cinema auteur, heâ
actually IS one. Of course Austin's changed a lot in fifty years,â
but Austinites didn't used to do that, and for whatever it's worth,â
now they can.
https://flic.kr/p/2rQGjaS
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #44 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Thu 8 Jan 26 08:03
permalink #44 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Thu 8 Jan 26 08:03
Coincidentally I watched "Nouvelle Vague" just last night, and foundâ
it a cheerful manifestation of a time and place and mindset thatâ
aligned with my youth. I was eleven years old when "Breathless" wasâ
released, and didn't have an opportunity to see it until yearsâ
later. Linklater's film captures the disruptive aesthetic andâ
experimental charm of Godard and the French New Wave (Nouvelleâ
Vague) set as they disregarded the conventions and practices ofâ
established cinema... Godard as a character in the film insists inâ
following his creative instincts and disregarding convention.
Rick's first film, "Slacker," made for almost nothing in the Austinâ
area 35 years ago, was sorta like an American/Texan version of theâ
same approach.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #45 of 57: More administrivia (jonl) Thu 8 Jan 26 08:05
permalink #45 of 57: More administrivia (jonl) Thu 8 Jan 26 08:05
Apologies to those of you who are seeing odd characters at the endâ
of every line in this conversation. We have a technical issue -â
we're looking into it.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #46 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Thu 8 Jan 26 10:09
permalink #46 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Thu 8 Jan 26 10:09
Some say that Donald Trump has fascist tendencies and that the USAâ
is leaning toward fascism since his election to a second term. Whatâ
evidence is there to support this contention? The following coupleâ
of posts include a list of fascist tendencies, and how they alignâ
with Trump's actions. I wrote this list over a week ago - since thenâ
the Trump administration has operated a military strike inâ
Venezuela, capturing its leader, Maduro. And yesterday ICEâ
operatives in Minnesota killed a 37-year-old poet and mother, thenâ
lied about the killing, claiming self-defense when video clearlyâ
showed otherwise. So the USA seems to be slipping past fascistâ
tendency to fascist reality.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #47 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Thu 8 Jan 26 10:11
permalink #47 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Thu 8 Jan 26 10:11
Indications of protofascism or fascism...
Undermining democratic elections and peaceful transfer of power. Heâ
claimed the 2020 election was âriggedâ without credibleâ
evidence. He pressured state officials (e.g., asking Georgiaâsâ
Secretary of State to âfind 11,780 votesâ) He encouragedâ
attempts to overturn certified results. He supported fake electorsâ
and legal strategies to block certification. He refused to concedeâ
and endorsed efforts to stop Congress from formalizing results onâ
Jan. 6. (Fascist movements historically reject electoral legitimacyâ
when they lose and treat opponents as enemies rather than rivals inâ
a shared system.)
Loyalty-based governance instead of institutional norms - forâ
example, he publicly demanded personal loyalty from Justiceâ
Department and intelligence officials. He fired or sidelinedâ
inspectors general and civil servants who investigated wrongdoing.â
He has rewarded allies and punished critics inside government.â
(Fascist systems centralize authority around the leader rather thanâ
independent institutions bound by law.)
Politicization of law enforcement and justice. He has pressured theâ
DOJ to shield allies and prosecute opponents. He has called forâ
imprisoning political rivals (âlock her up,â âlock them upââ
rhetoric). He has intervened in individual criminal cases involvingâ
supporters. (Using state power as a weapon against perceived enemiesâ
is a classic illiberal/fascist pattern.)
Delegitimizing the press and independent information. He hasâ
frequently labeled journalists âthe enemy of the people.â Heâ
encouraged supporters to distrust independent media entirely. Heâ
elevated state-aligned media personalities as preferred informationâ
sources. (Fascist regimes treat the press as a hostile force and tryâ
to replace it with loyal messaging channels.)
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #48 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Thu 8 Jan 26 10:12
permalink #48 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Thu 8 Jan 26 10:12
Indications of protofascism or fascism /2 ...
Extreme nationalist & exclusionary rhetoric. He portrayed immigrantsâ
and minorities as threats or criminals. He has promoted âAmericaâ
Firstâ identity politics centered on nativism. He has proposed orâ
enacted harsh immigration controls and family-separation policy.â
(Fascist ideologies typically define the nation in ethnic orâ
cultural terms and frame outsiders as corrupting forces.)
Encouraging political violence or tolerating it rhetorically. He hasâ
frequently used language romanticizing toughness or violenceâ
(âknock the crap out of them,â praise for rough policeâ
treatment). He has minimized or deflected responsibility whenâ
supporters engaged in intimidation or violence. He re-embracedâ
extremist or militant groups (e.g. Proud Boys) when politicallyâ
expedient. (Fascist movements rely on paramilitary or mob-adjacentâ
energy rather than only formal politics.)
Personality-cult leadership style. He has framed himself as theâ
singular savior of the nation (âI alone can fix itâ). Heâ
encourages rallies and symbolic loyalty displays. He treatsâ
disagreement inside the party as disloyalty rather than debate.â
(Fascist systems center politics on devotion to a "strongman" figureâ
over policy or institutions.)
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #49 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Thu 8 Jan 26 10:13
permalink #49 of 57: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Thu 8 Jan 26 10:13
One might argue that the current US government is not full-onâ
fascist at this point, probably protofascist. Trump has normalizedâ
authoritarian tactics and rhetoric that resemble early-stage fascistâ
movements, but operated inside our still-standing (so far) systemâ
that has resisted full consolidation of power.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #50 of 57: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Thu 8 Jan 26 12:05
permalink #50 of 57: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Thu 8 Jan 26 12:05
I'll change topics. Fond reminiscences, moaning about our bruisesâ
and forebodings, they're okay and even morally necessary, but theyâ
get on my nerves. I'll talk about futurism from China.
In China there's a city called Tengchong, which is in a picturesqueâ
hot-springs region on the border with Myanmar aka Burma, and maybeâ
because they're safely distant from the Comintern in Beijing andâ
famous for nothing much, they decided to put themselves on theâ
Chinese and world map as a brainy intellectual center. So they areâ
the hosts of the recently-established "Tengchong Scientists Forum." â
I happened to get my mitts on the summary of their recentâ
speculative proceedings, and as futurist forecasts go, thisâ
document's out-there.
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