Inkwell: Authors and Artists
Topic 561: State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
inkwell.vue.561
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #76 of 90: Gary Gach (ggg) Fri 9 Jan 26 18:30
permalink #76 of 90: Gary Gach (ggg) Fri 9 Jan 26 18:30
Much appreciated.
( The first one requires downloading an extension, when viewed inâ
either Safari or Chrome. )
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #77 of 90: Patrick Ehtesabian-Lichty (plichty) Fri 9 Jan 26 19:46
permalink #77 of 90: Patrick Ehtesabian-Lichty (plichty) Fri 9 Jan 26 19:46
Hi, SotWders.
I think the lst time I dove in was a coupel years ago, or was itâ
when I was still a correspodant from Dubai (which, oddly I return toâ
periodically). There is a lot to say, but I think the reminiscenceâ
chain is apropos, as being here in quaint lille Winona, MN (theâ
Midwest's version of Ibiza - actualkly, no it isn't - it's more of aâ
getrifying Lake Wbegone).
The cognitive chain goes back to the early 90's when I was orbitingâ
Jon, et al by showing up at Fringeware, and beign indirectlyâ
introduced to the Churcjh of the Subgenius indirectly my hometownâ
hero Mark Mothersbaough (Akronites!)
But lots of things happened, raising hell in the 90's and 2000s asâ
the animator for a cheeky little activist band, TheYes Men, doign aâ
lot of writing nad net art, running a mag called Intelligent agentâ
with the digital curattor of the Whitney, getting up mornings atâ
SxSW at Jon's to hear Bruce say, "So, what cool thing did ya seeâ
this year, Pat?" to cybirging with Jon, winding up in Dubai only toâ
hang out with 'Worlder Derek Woodgate, and doing occasional rants onâ
JKon and Scoop's podcast.
This isn't so much a bragchain, but more of a "What a long, weirdâ
walk it;s been..." sort of thing.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #78 of 90: Patrick Ehtesabian-Lichty (plichty) Fri 9 Jan 26 20:12
permalink #78 of 90: Patrick Ehtesabian-Lichty (plichty) Fri 9 Jan 26 20:12
But there's a moral to this story, I, and my ethereal Tehrani wife,â
Negin, have been on the front lines of global trends sine leavingâ
Dubai in 2021. Most of it is too long, and probably boring to tell,â
but the exciting and heartbreaking part is the journey we hadâ
through the US immingration system. In short, about 50 monthsâ
before I came here and her able to join me, with academic breas inâ
Turkey or Cyprus (had to get a pass from the Ministry of Culture toâ
get Negin in), then escaping the war to get her to Weimar for theâ
past year, only to have to walk away from our place cold to come toâ
Winona.
And now we live a scant two hours from Minneapolis, which ain't fun.
And I get the aging thing - seeing my slightly forward friendsâ
starting to hit bumps, and at 63, I'm now a full-fledged cyborg,â
reading the messages with AI glasses, saving my RP-infestedâ
remainign vision for remarks.
The point to this is that I remember Bruce cry out at an EFF partyâ
at SxSW, "This isn't the dystopis I wrote aout!"
Damned straight, hermano.
And we're looking down the barrel ofn climate change - actually Iâ
g=began doign Neo-Romantic art based on my anxieties about climateâ
change and AI by making AI rehases of the Caspar Friedrich seascapesâ
I saw at the Goethe Haus or monuments likt the Eiffel submerged 60 mâ
at the base.
But we're here waiting for Iran internet to open back up, in shockâ
but the Renee Good shooting, and I'm doing themost anachronisticâ
thing of allâfinishing a tenure portfolio (my 3rd time doing this)â
- that venerable ivory-billed woodpecker of academia. I get it, andâ
we're bunkered in for a decade in Midwest Ibiza, or we go back onâ
the road.
The point is, again that chaos is de rigueur nowâa polycrisis inâ
the ambient muzak of the time. When I was eating horse jerky inâ
Kazakhstan, I had no idea the world was this weird.
Or maybe so.
I sometimes think that coming home from Dubai was stupid, then Iâ
look again, and maybe it was one of the best options I could haveâ
had. At least Negin and I had the forst Xmas at home since 2020.
OK, typo laden rant ended for today.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #79 of 90: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 10 Jan 26 01:45
permalink #79 of 90: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 10 Jan 26 01:45
I wouldn't claim that the Chinese are ten feet tall. It's more thatâ
everybody else now is two feet tall and some are half-buried inâ
foxholes.
The manifesto goals in that Tengchong document aren't "new." It'sâ
more that the Chinese ability to sort-of carry them out is new. Youâ
can have all the way-out, innovative ideas you can handwave about,â
but if the Chinese are really building and selling them and you'reâ
not, then you're basically a sci-fi writer.
Xiaomi is a consumer-electronics company, and they designed andâ
built a car in two years. The car didn't fly, but it's a luxury carâ
and it sells. Apple spent ten years and several billionâ
contemplating an Apple car. Then they shrugged and gave up. Tooâ
far-fetched, not stockholder-centric.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #80 of 90: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 10 Jan 26 01:46
permalink #80 of 90: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 10 Jan 26 01:46
These Chinese companies are not indolent, featherbeddingâ
bureaucracies filling out Red Chinese paperwork. A lot of them areâ
being persistently and directly attacked by the US, like, say,â
Huawei, where Trump once kidnapped the mandarin's daughter in highâ
Venezuelan style. These trade-war assaults didn't even slow themâ
down. It seemed to capture their attention and focus theirâ
technical activities.
I see these guys all the time now. They're forcing their way on myâ
attention in the way Japanese companies did in their trade-boom.
The Big Tech Platforms, of course:
Alibaba (e-commerce)
Tencent (e-commerce)
Baidu (AI, autonomous vehicles)
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #81 of 90: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 10 Jan 26 01:47
permalink #81 of 90: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 10 Jan 26 01:47
But all these other ones, too:
Fujian Jinhua Integrated Circuit (DRAM manufacturing)
Huawei (semiconductors, telecommunications and consumer electronics)
BBK Electronics (consumer electronics)
Xiaomi (consumer electronics)
Aviation Industry Corporation of China (aerospace)
CRRC (rail)
Sinopharm (medicine)
Megvii (AI)
DJI (AI, drones)
SMIC (semiconductors)
BAIC (new energy vehicles)
Geely (new energy vehicles)
NIO (new energy vehicles)
BYD (new energy vehicles)
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #82 of 90: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 10 Jan 26 01:47
permalink #82 of 90: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 10 Jan 26 01:47
If you say, "what does a Chinese flying car look like," that soundsâ
corny and goofy. If you ask "what does a Xiaomi-Huawei pilotlessâ
taxi-drone look like when it's a new-energy-vehicle," then the Saudiâ
investors would fret about that.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #83 of 90: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 10 Jan 26 01:48
permalink #83 of 90: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 10 Jan 26 01:48
"Room temperature superconductors" are also an old idea, but if tenâ
thousand Chinese lab engineers ground-it-out force-of-numbers style,â
and some Chinese heavy-industry managed to mass-build those, theâ
world would be set on its ear. Of course the world would still beâ
stricken with the ongoing climate crisis, but everybody would kowtowâ
to them because it would transform the grid worldwide.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #84 of 90: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 10 Jan 26 01:48
permalink #84 of 90: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 10 Jan 26 01:48
The Xi Jinping "Chinese Dream" is about the kowtows. It's aboutâ
historically overcoming the "century of humiliation" and having theâ
world bow the knee in awed respect of a rejuvenated hegemonicâ
techno-superpower. I get it why that would be a Chineseâ
ethnonationalist aspiration, but if everybody else isâ
auto-humiliating themselves by comparison, that makes them look evenâ
more impressive. I'm not all that "impressed" by them, but I'm sureâ
I'll be paying more attention to them. If they're setting the pace,â
it behooves you to look.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #85 of 90: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Sat 10 Jan 26 07:34
permalink #85 of 90: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Sat 10 Jan 26 07:34
The disciplined and energetic Chinese are ascendant compared to theâ
declining USA, where billionaires are getting fat on grift and theâ
government has fallen into the hands of a demented former realityâ
show host who's formed a muddled, violent idiocracy. Meanwhile "theâ
worldâs oceans absorbed colossal amounts of heat in 2025, settingâ
yet another new record and fuelling more extreme weather, scientistsâ
have reported."â
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/jan/09/profound-impacts-record-oc
ean-heat-intensifying-climate-disasters>
Meanwhile "Trumpâs first 100 days in office have been the mostâ
harmful 100 days of any administration for climate, clean energy,â
public health, and communities â especially our most vulnerableâ
communities. His actions have accelerated the climate crisis andâ
endangered communitiesâ health by kneecapping pollutionâ
protections and
crippling extreme weather preparedness, and have driven up costs andâ
undermined economic growth through illegally freezing clean energyâ
investments and launching a trade war with important economicâ
partners."â
<https://www.actonclimate.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/100days100harms.pdf>
Despite this, "Columbia Climate School experts see signs of progressâ
on the horizon, and climate solutions within reach."â
<https://news.climate.columbia.edu/2026/01/07/columbia-climate-school-experts-o
n-what-gives-them-hope-for-2026/> Let's hope.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #86 of 90: Matthew Hawn (jukevox) Sat 10 Jan 26 07:56
permalink #86 of 90: Matthew Hawn (jukevox) Sat 10 Jan 26 07:56
It's also worth looking at how fast the Chinese are rising inâ
control of the world's fastest growing culture engines, withâ
significant ownership of some of the top global companies in gamesâ
and music:
TenCent Games: Riot (100%), SuperCell (84%) Epic (40%) Funcom (100%)â
with big infrastructure for esports/live streaming via Huya/Douyu
TenCent Music: Operates Chinaâs leading DSPs: QQ Music, Kugouâ
Music and Kuwo Music
WeChat is about half the size of Meta with a lot of room for globalâ
growth; FB users spend roughly 35 minutes per day whereas WeChatâ
users spend 80+ minutes a day because it is a true "super app" withâ
deep hooks into ecommerce, messaging, gaming and the social fabricâ
of Asia.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #87 of 90: Filip Dedic (jonl) Sat 10 Jan 26 08:25
permalink #87 of 90: Filip Dedic (jonl) Sat 10 Jan 26 08:25
Via email from Filip Dedic:
So State of the World increasingly looks a lot like a smoulderingâ
hell and outlets even have a regular yearly column âXX Conflictsâ
to watch in 20YY."
So in the survivor mode of writer Italo Calvino I am asking: What doâ
we seek and recognize as not part of hell in 2026? What do we makeâ
endure and give space? And how do we realistically maintain thatâ
practice on a personal scale? How can we rewrite that intent forâ
conditions of 2026?
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #88 of 90: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Sat 10 Jan 26 08:34
permalink #88 of 90: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Sat 10 Jan 26 08:34
How to define not-hell? Perhaps through practices.
Specifically, these:
Taking a moment where no one is performing for an algorithm.
Do work with care, even when unseen.
Have a conversation without trying to "win."
Give attention freely (a mindful approach).
Humor without cruelty.
Practice with skill, craft, patience.
Take small actions that preserve dignity.
Find practices that don't reduce humans to metrics, enemies, orâ
resources. Practices that slow us down instead of accelerating us.â
Connect instead of sorting. Clarify instead of inflaming.
Take time for silent meditation. Acknowledge complexity. Do someâ
work that can't easily be monetized, or at least without thought ofâ
monetization. Tell great stories. Change minds. Find and encourageâ
coherence. Tell the truth.
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #89 of 90: Paulina Borsook (loris) Sat 10 Jan 26 09:01
permalink #89 of 90: Paulina Borsook (loris) Sat 10 Jan 26 09:01
bravo jon
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State of the World 2026 with Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #90 of 90: Bruce Fox (brucefox) Sat 10 Jan 26 09:31
permalink #90 of 90: Bruce Fox (brucefox) Sat 10 Jan 26 09:31
Thank you Jon, I'm signing off now to teach a free course in makingâ
Calder style mobiles to some local enthusiasts. All of the above inâ
#88. Find some balance in life.
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