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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #76 of 338: Shanta Stevens (jonl) Thu 5 Jan 23 11:36
permalink #76 of 338: Shanta Stevens (jonl) Thu 5 Jan 23 11:36
On that note, I feel that I would be remiss without including these final throwback references... _Corporate Metabolism_ by Paco Xander Nathan (22 Oct 02000) http://www.tripzine.com/listing.php?id=corporate_metabolism An extensive analysis of the structure and function of the corporate organism "Let's review the evolution of political system, vis-a-vis corporate governance. Elizabethan England made a bold proclamation in the name of humanism. They effectively said: "Fucke Spain & thee Catholycks. Yn the cominge yeres of Newe World Order, rules of the game changeth and none of their bloodie golde shall matter not one wit." The English reckoned that if Church and cojones were removed from the political equation, the Crown and its people could prosper. They invented corporations to implement that plan and serve the Crown. That worked remarkably well. Americans came along and objected to corporations, wishing to empower individual sovereignty based on property rights. They reckoned that if the Crown were removed from the political equation, then representation of individuals could reign over corporations instead. Their experiment died within a few decades, and arguably the United States became the first flag of convenience. Socialists noted problems due to corporations in both England and the US. They reckoned that if individual property rights were removed from the political equation, societies could reign over corporations instead. They attempted to organize politics to mimic the corporate structure itself, which has so far proven to be problematic. *Where do we stand now?* Humanists of all varieties have struggled to control corporations for the better part of four centuries. They failed. They lacked a fundamental understanding of the problem. GAME OVER. Direct confrontation of the corporate form does not work, because such efforts inevitably become <sublated>. Backing up for a moment, let us examine more closely this concept of the Egregor(e) _Chasing Egregors,_ By Paco Xander Nathan (March 02001) https://archive.scarletwoman-oto.org/swl_archive/swl_site_v3/scarletletter/v6n 1/ v6n1_egregors.html ...In the spirit of Vitruvius, think of egregors as the allegorical buildings of the allegorical stonemasons of Western Esoteric Tradition... In a Platonic sense, egregors are dynamic structures used for perpetuating belief systems. They provide intellectual frameworks for constructing and deconstructing the beliefs that arise from group dynamics, i.e., the autopoietic emergence of an additional <meta>"individual" to represent a group of individuals... Can Social Systems be Viewed as Autopoietic? https://web.archive.org/web/20040206142026/http://bprc.warwick.ac.uk/lsesg3.ht ml Durkheim's concept of the 'collective consciousness' refers to the parts of our psychic lives which integrate into a social consciousness that is more than just individual motives and actions. In autopoiesis, however, meaning emerges in the social sphere as a way of processing information and putting it into a multitude of different contexts, then moving from one actualisation to another. This can be regarded as a form of 'socio-Animism.' When a lawyer or economist or poet creates a work of meaning, the important thing in an autopoietic system is not what that work means to its author's individual psyche, but the way the work gains in meaning when it moves through different worlds. This is similar to the way in which the legal world interprets a contract in terms of its observable meaning, rather than according to the subjective motivations of individual actors. Maturana avoids explicit claims that his theory of biological autopoiesis is directly applicable at social levels. However, he does offer some implicit reinforcement to the notion that society can be perceived of as an organic unit of the people involved when he identifies 'higher order' autopoietic systems. These build from the cell to the brain, the mind and the whole human being and could be interpreted as seeing society as a high-order community of the brains and minds of the people within it. Social autopoiesis based on Luhmann's principles creates a distance between real people and their engagement in social processes, which also makes clear we are dealing with profound and infinite dynamics that never intersect with each other. Theories, like Maturana's, which can too easily conjure up a merging of the individual with the social can be very dangerous in certain political arenas. Husserl's notions about 'consciousness' initiated debates about the difficulty of integrating society into phenomenology. Wittgenstein and others replaced this with language theories in which the observer was no longer the conscious human, but the language game. Autopoietic systems theory reinstates Husserl's idea of consciousness, but this time parallel to - and in competition with - several autonomous 'language games'. To some extent, this reifies collectivities and deconstructs the reality of the actor through socio-Animism. It multiplies the number of observational perspectives as the observer is not identified just with the mind of an individual agent but with a 'chain of distinctions', which could be a human actor or an ongoing process of communication involving people. That chain develops its own criteria and perspective of observation. -- "What Burroughs terms the viral function of language is its ongoing ordering of reality toward the limit of total control, the opposite of anarchy. He employs the figure of the virus, a force hovering between evolving being and mere replicator, to problematize conventional definitions of living and non-living. In Burroughs' cosmos, one must always remember that the words one transmits can never be neutral moves in the universal language-game; even if misfiring, some sort of force is necessarily being transmitted. This is the very problem addressed by Csicsery-Ronay when he cites Jameson's skepticism over sf's linguistic aporia. It is exceptionally difficult for any resistant message to avoid complicity with the dominant communication systems in whose language it is composed. If "a butterfly flapping its wings in Tokyo can cause a tornado in Toledo" (Porush 381), who knows what havoc a few well-chosen words could wreak in the infosphere? As responsible cyborg-writers, we'd best have a good idea how the "techsts" we use are going to function out there before we turn them loose. The trick, argues Burroughs, is to transmit a kind of force that doesn't immediately contribute to the virus-effect but can actually help work against it." _William S. Burroughs and the Language of Cyberpunk,_ by Brent Wood https://www.depauw.edu/sfs/backissues/68/wood68.html
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #77 of 338: Shanta Stevens (jonl) Thu 5 Jan 23 11:36
permalink #77 of 338: Shanta Stevens (jonl) Thu 5 Jan 23 11:36
<CAVEAT>: Another specific PKD reference seems appropriate now... https://realitysandwich.com/the-enlightened-madness-of-philip-k-dick-the-black -i ron-prison-and-wetiko/ _The Enlightened Madness of Philip K. Dick: The Black Iron Prison and Wetiko,_ by Paul Levy (who is the founder of Awakening in the Dream Community in Portland, Oregon, from whence came the founders of my Ibogaine temple in Mexico) ...PKD likened our existential situation to being in a maze, what he refers to as "one colossal and absolute Chinese finger trap." The harder we try to get out, the more trapped we become; this is to say that we are not able to find our way out through ordinary means. Seemingly alive and sentient, the maze has a peculiar nature of shifting as we become aware of it. It is as if it is aware of---and responds to---our awareness of it. One only escapes from the maze, to quote PKD, "when he decides voluntarily to return (to resubject himself to the power of the maze) for the sake of these others, still in it. That is, you can never leave alone, to leave you must elect to take the others out...the ultimate paradox of the maze, its quintessential ingenuity of construction, is that the only real way out is a voluntary way back in (into it and its power), which is the path of the bodhisattva." We would only voluntarily return to help others if we recognized that they are not separate from ourselves, which is to realize that we are all interdependent and interconnected---which is the very realization that simultaneously enlivens compassion and dissolves wetiko. PKD writes, "when you think you are out of the maze---i.e., saved---you are in fact still in it." This brings to mind the insight that if we think we are free of wetiko and it is only "others" that are afflicted with it, this very perspective is, paradoxically, a symptom of having fallen under the spell of wetiko. To quote PKD, "If there is to be happiness it must come in a voluntary relinquishing of self in exchange for aware participation in the destiny of the total one." In a very real sense, PKD did find the solution to humanity's existential dilemma. He writes, "compassion's highest power is the only power capable of solving the maze." As PKD points out, "The true measure of a man is not his intelligence or how high he rises in this freak establishment. No, the true measure of a man is this: how quickly can he respond to the needs of others and how much of himself he can give." In other words, the true measure of who we are is how much we are able to love. PKD concludes, "If the final paradox of the maze is that the only way you can escape it is voluntarily to go back in (into it), then maybe we are here voluntarily; we came back in." In other words, perhaps we have chosen to incarnate at this very moment in time, i.e., our voluntary return to the maze has already happened (evidenced by the simple fact of our incarnation), which is to say that we have already solved the maze and simply have to recognize this fact...
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #78 of 338: Virtual Sea Monkey (karish) Thu 5 Jan 23 12:44
permalink #78 of 338: Virtual Sea Monkey (karish) Thu 5 Jan 23 12:44
<factoid> is an optimist. > To put a finer point on it, the Algorithm is only as trustworthy as > the engineers who built it and trained it. I submit that the Algorithm is far less trustworthy than are the engineers who initiated the machine learning processes that continue to create the algorithms. The engineers have limited capability to control or even to understand what conclusions self-extending algorithms draw from their training data. Once the ML-based algorithms create themselves they're quite opaque, and it's difficult or impossible to look inside them to see why they work the way they do or even to see what they actually do. We have to treat them as black boxes and understand them only on the basis of their responses to various inputs.
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #79 of 338: Virtual Sea Monkey (karish) Thu 5 Jan 23 12:50
permalink #79 of 338: Virtual Sea Monkey (karish) Thu 5 Jan 23 12:50
By the way, Rick Beato has a lot more to say about the implications of autotune and, more generally, of mechanically "perfecting" music. <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BYRljnrtV3A&t=2013s> For an earlier round of discussion of mechanical vandalism toward music we can look back at the loudness wars, in which in each successive release even of the same music more compression was applied to reduce the music's dynamic range and make it sound more compelling to the casual listener.
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #80 of 338: @mackreed@mastodon.social (factoid) Thu 5 Jan 23 14:12
permalink #80 of 338: @mackreed@mastodon.social (factoid) Thu 5 Jan 23 14:12
Very good point in <karish>s #78: I submit that the Algorithm is far less trustworthy than are the engineers who initiated the machine learning processes that continue to create the algorithms. The engineers have limited capability to control or even to understand what conclusions self-extending algorithms draw from their training data. This situation is going to be compounded by programs that are capable of writing code. A local venture lab here in Seattle just put out a call for proposals from startups wanting to build just that. Now we approach not Skynet, but something more insidious - a self-generating Singularity beyond the control of whatever token killswitches or airgaps the humans thought would prevent Bad Things Happening, precisely because humans are using the *outputs* to make decisions. Its no longer a science-fiction scenario (though Colossus: The Forbin Project comes to mind). With the increase in adoption and casual trust, and the likelihood of insufficient bullshit-detection by humans who receive the outputs second-hand (from humans) and ACT on them, it approaches the nature and risk of an unchecked pandemic. So - who wants to start working on the vaccines with me? *checks watch* We dont have a helluva lot of time, and we need to get ahead of the algorithmic anti-vaxxers.
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #81 of 338: Patrick Lichty (plichty) Thu 5 Jan 23 15:05
permalink #81 of 338: Patrick Lichty (plichty) Thu 5 Jan 23 15:05
Jon said that you could read the SotW if you're not on the Well, and I'd like to add if you're not behind the firewall of a murderously repressive regime. Details count. Back to art for moment. Of course this artificial intelligence thing has got everybody in a tizzy, including everybody in my household. I've been messing around with a lot of these toys myself, and more or less, I think these things are marvelously manipulative. So, in many ways I sort of look at Prompt based AI imaging as some thing between poetry concrete and a magic eight ball. I attended the stability AI now annual get together on twitch and watched what people were doing with these mammoth imaging engines, and honestly, I was very impressed. They are getting these algorithms to do some absolutely fascinating images that actually look like something, if that's two of Blake. In fact, when I show my own work ironically talk to someone who's in the gallery with me, and I look at the thing on the wall or on the Plymouth and say, "well, does it look like art?" That's not facetious. But being one of the OGs of the new media art set, I see this as the next generation from Benjamin's complaint about photography, designers' complaint about desktop publishing, and so on Tools make things more plastic; flexible; maybe even easier. But in some ways they also impose constraints. You look at something made by AI and a lot of times it looks like it's made by AI if you looked at the stuff long enough. That's his problem. Also, you say something and then it shows up does that mean we are headed for a bespoke aestheticized culture? If so, what is art, and what is quick visual popcorn? When I was in Art school, and actually for the first 15 years of my contemporary art career I had only informally studied with a lot of really fantastic world-class artists and talking with my mom taught me and took that into the world without really having a degree until I needed one to teach so I guess I'm probably one of the last Atelier students left... My point is that where much of the art we see is largely about manipulating technology and visual pleasure, I remember my painting student colleagues, and how they took the world into their eyes and put it through the Play-Doh fuzzy pumper of their brain and expressed it through physical dexterity and visual choice. Today that's the AI translator fishing through the billion or so images it has in the database to get what you wanted to choose. I guess I'm kind of the old guy bitching about kids today - which has happened since time began, but from a Michelina standpoint I sometimes think that AI has taken that perceptual element and externalized it and that makes me a little crazy.
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #82 of 338: Emily J Gertz (emilyg) Thu 5 Jan 23 15:19
permalink #82 of 338: Emily J Gertz (emilyg) Thu 5 Jan 23 15:19
Something New Year, all. Thanks for inviting me back, Jon. SOTW 2023: For every three wild critters living on earth today, there were ten wild critters 50-odd years ago, when I was about eight years old. This is really terrifying when you focus on it, which is why I guess so few people are focusing on it. At least with climate change, there is a marginal chance that within the next 20-30 years, people might collectively implement enough decarbonization solutions with enough effect to blunt the worst of what's otherwise coming. Save the forests, electrify everything, gut the fossil fuel industry Big-Tobacco-style, miraculous drawdown breakthroughs, hell maybe FUSION even! So ok, psychedelics. AI. Let's go!
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #83 of 338: Emily Gertz (emilyg) Thu 5 Jan 23 15:21
permalink #83 of 338: Emily Gertz (emilyg) Thu 5 Jan 23 15:21
Meanwhile, I'm about to try to make aloo paneer in my Instant Pot. Stay tuned.
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #84 of 338: Patrick Lichty (plichty) Thu 5 Jan 23 15:32
permalink #84 of 338: Patrick Lichty (plichty) Thu 5 Jan 23 15:32
One more thing about contemporary art is that there are three kinds of artists in the world today. One, there are the artists who are using apps, AI and data slamming to spew the fire hose of ubiquitous imaging and infinite aestheticization. And, in the NFT world a lot of this sells. Bravo. By the way, I like P1xelf00l - he's a fresh face in NFTs who gets history. With the crypto crash, the NFT world is a bit more like the Chelsea of the 80s than the 00s. Just sayin'. Type two is the sort of artist who already had a bit of privilege and is part of the group in the contemporary world who is always going to be fine, showing at good galleries and doing the biennial circuit. The world hasn't changed that much for them, except with the Venice biennial they were asked actually to acknowledge climate change. Cross-reference Douglas Rushkoff. And lastly, there is what I call the Multiverse. What is more evident to me than ever is how heterogenous the Venn Diagram art worlds is. This came from my own intersection between various digital art worlLs and the contemporary. I remember when I was doing stuff back in Second life, and yes, it's still around. A Chinese artist called Cao Fei was making her version of Beijing in Second Life called RMB city for Serpentine gallery in London - a big deal. She had built this square kilometer monstrosity with her team and wondered why nobody was coming, and I told them that Second Life whether they liked it or not, felt that they were the new space for contemporary art and all the curators of the world at all these museums that were showing obsolete art should come and see THEM. (Sounds familiar) They have their own art world, their own community, and a lot of them had never been to a museum, and if she wants them to care about her well she needs to care about them. That's what she did, she had a lot of dance parties in her reception area. And it took off. The point of this is that my colleague Cory Arcangel was right in saying that "my art world is bigger than your art world" in saying that now we live in a Multiverse of art worlds. The NFT space overlaps the contemporary, which overlaps the meta-verse, which overlaps, but is not congruent with.... And that's really what's confusing. What happened with broadcast TV has happened to the art world. There are tons and tons of ways to make and enjoy and share and collect art and this is the result of the pandemic, in my opinion. Galleries started going online like some of my colleagues in Dubai, and since the usual ways of dealing with things just didn't exist anymore, you had to figure out what the hell you were going to do. So in some ways, I think that we are in an incredibly interesting era for art, but like Benjamin was concerned about with photography is that, democratization often and turns into devaluation. For me, as an artist who likes to try to sell things, it's kind of a problem. But we're working with it But in some ways, I feel like aesthetic training and the development of "taste" is an elitist justification for why you should like this and not that. In "Avant Garde and kitsch," Clement Greenberg nailed it, but sometimes your nephew wantws a Thomas Kinkaide. Deal with it.
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #85 of 338: NFT descending a staircase (clm) Thu 5 Jan 23 16:44
permalink #85 of 338: NFT descending a staircase (clm) Thu 5 Jan 23 16:44
I'm trying!
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #86 of 338: Patrick Lichty (plichty) Thu 5 Jan 23 22:33
permalink #86 of 338: Patrick Lichty (plichty) Thu 5 Jan 23 22:33
Kazakhstan? I've got this = I spent a lot of time there, mainly Almaty and Nursultan. The heating loss isn't Russian; it's just crumbling Soviet infrastructure, inefficient Central Asian practices, and the fact that the 9th largest country in the world has under 20 million people. IT people going there? KZ isn't Borat-land. Nursultan reminded me of the Dubai of the Steppe when I went to the World Expo, and my students from there weren't poor, but the wealth disparity there was nasty. There is a big difference between Nursultan and Shykmkent; if you get outside the cities, it's pretty dire. I remember going to a post-soviet truck stop driving from Almaty to Bishkek - squat toilets, pay to flush, the convenience store has just a couple little lights on - mostly dark. Wild. But if you never knew - Post-Soviet bus stops are trippy. Like Yugoslav brutalist monument sort of cool.
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #87 of 338: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 6 Jan 23 01:01
permalink #87 of 338: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 6 Jan 23 01:01
*I'm quite the generator-AI devotee, but I think it needs to be seen and understood in the context of a lot of other wannabe-singularitarian cyber-schemes that are all deep in the Trough of Despond in 02023.
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #88 of 338: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 6 Jan 23 01:15
permalink #88 of 338: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Fri 6 Jan 23 01:15
Meanwhile, it's January 6 today and the Jan-6ers are occupying the Congress. Why elected officials in the US Congress are continuously amazed by these eruptions, I don't understand. They're politicians, why are they so naive? "The Twenty" are identity-politics veterans, so they're gonna be hard to mollify. They lack conventional political demands because their core assertion is "Reality must be like that because of who I am." They're not gonna back down, they're willing to charge cops with bloody riot for the sake of trolling RINOS and Libs, but it's interesting how uniformly Trumpian and personally squalid "the Twenty" are. In most societies, an identitarian culture-hero tends to lead by moral example, like "Lo, we the People-of-Ruritania are noble, courteous, reverent and brave and we scorn to lie -- especially me!" In the MAGA-20 they're abjectly proud to be scoundrels, there's always a scramble for viral eyeballs while somebody passes the Elmer Gantry collection-plate. I dunno what will be done by them and about them this year, but I''m sure that their appetites will grow with the feeding, just like The Donald's.
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #89 of 338: The Year of the Rabid (jonl) Fri 6 Jan 23 05:59
permalink #89 of 338: The Year of the Rabid (jonl) Fri 6 Jan 23 05:59
They're proving that they can disrupt the proceedings, I'm sure that's a boost. I'm sure they assume they're asserting power, not ignorance. One thing they're making clear is that there's just twenty of them.
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #90 of 338: John Coate (tex) Fri 6 Jan 23 06:03
permalink #90 of 338: John Coate (tex) Fri 6 Jan 23 06:03
With all the attention and TV time they are getting by holding out, it seems they might just keep this up indefinitely.
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #91 of 338: Jamais Cascio (jonl) Fri 6 Jan 23 06:34
permalink #91 of 338: Jamais Cascio (jonl) Fri 6 Jan 23 06:34
Via email from our friend, author and futurist Jamais Cascio: Hi folks. It's good to see so many old friends and colleagues still actively wrapping their heads around what's going on in the world. I've stopped talking as much about The Apocalypse (whether tongue-in-cheek or serious). It's too final-sounding. I think we're far more likely to be in for a century of misery, a relentless plague of feral catastrophes. As many of the folks have said so far, it's chaos. As Jon knows, for the last couple of years I've been neck-deep in examining chaos with the whole "BANI" thing. (In short, follow-on to VUCA [volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity], BANI=Brittle Anxious Nonlinear Incomprehensible.) The details of the concept aren't important here; what is worth noting in this forum is that, while BANI has received almost no attention in the US (and only a little in Western Europe), it has absolutely exploded as a topic of conversation in the developing world. I've given remote talks in Brazil, Mexico, and Sri Lanka (at an academic symposium *about BANI*), and have seen speeches by political leaders and business executives referencing it, especially in India. I've seen a recent uptick in discussion of BANI in Russia and Ukraine. The point is that there is an absolute hunger outside the West for a way to understand a chaotic world. In many ways, our discussions of chaos here are as an abstraction; in places like Sri Lanka, chaos is an absolute constant reality. And what chaos looks like is *misery*. It's a mashup of both war and aftermath. Anyway, welcome to 2023. [Here's more on BANI: <https://ageofbani.com/>]
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #92 of 338: William F. Stockton (yesway) Fri 6 Jan 23 09:53
permalink #92 of 338: William F. Stockton (yesway) Fri 6 Jan 23 09:53
Thanks for #82 (emilyg).
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #93 of 338: @allartburns@mastodon.social (jet) Fri 6 Jan 23 10:55
permalink #93 of 338: @allartburns@mastodon.social (jet) Fri 6 Jan 23 10:55
Was listening to CNN and MSNBC and there was a great statement, I think by a Speaker under Bush. (Paraphrasing) "What happens if someone takes hostages, you go to negotiate to find out what they want, and they respond 'I like having hostages.'?"
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #94 of 338: Tiffany Lee Brown (T) (magdalen) Fri 6 Jan 23 15:32
permalink #94 of 338: Tiffany Lee Brown (T) (magdalen) Fri 6 Jan 23 15:32
but what about Aloo Paneer in an Instant Pot? that's what i wanna know about.
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #95 of 338: Brian Slesinsky (bslesins) Fri 6 Jan 23 21:45
permalink #95 of 338: Brian Slesinsky (bslesins) Fri 6 Jan 23 21:45
One thing that I think isn't generally realized about large language models is that there's no particular reason to treat them as a single "person." ChatGPT is set up to do a dialog between a human and a computer assistant, but the underlying technology could just as easily been built to generate both sides of the conversation. (When playing around with raw GPT-3 it's actually somewhat difficult to keep it from doing this.) It could also generate a conversation between multiple people in a chat room, each with their own opinions. None of the characters it invents is the language model's "real" personality. If you had raw access, you could edit the chat transcript to modify its opinions, and it would pick it up from there as if nothing had happened. Some people have tried to suss out ChatGPT's political opinions by asking it questions, which is sort of like trying to figure out a library's political opinion by grabbing one book off the shelf. A library contains many opinions, and so does a large language model. (Though with a language model they all bleed into each other.) The way it's curated might introduce bias, but not in the same way that a person has a bias. A better approach is to hint at what opinions you want to have and see how good it is at picking up on what it's supposed to do, for example by asking leading questions. Due to their fill-in-the-blank training, language models follow the "yes, and" rule of improv. They're better treated as a well-read follower than something you want to take advice from. (Though, ChatGPT has additional layers to try to keep it from doing anything too controversial.) There was interesting paper recently [1] showing (among other things) that a large language model's "sycophancy goes up as they increase the number of parameters. Which is what you'd expect if you think of it as getting better at improv. [1] https://www.anthropic.com/model-written-evals.pdf
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #96 of 338: Brian Slesinsky (bslesins) Fri 6 Jan 23 22:09
permalink #96 of 338: Brian Slesinsky (bslesins) Fri 6 Jan 23 22:09
I expect that AI writing tools are going to change how writing gets taught quite a lot. Maybe there are kids starting school now who will never need to write a formal essay from scratch? Instead they'll learn to generate a bunch of rough drafts and assemble them according to taste, based on what they want to say. The effect on formal writing could be similar to the effect of the microwave and prepared convenience foods on home cooking. Sure, it's not the same as cooking a meal from scratch, but if it gets the kids fed, that's what counts, right? The equivalent of "getting the kids fed" from a career perspective is probably doing the sort of bureaucratic and business writing that educated people are expected to do. People with limited writing skills will benefit, immigrants especially. Imagine how useful these tools will be when trying to write something formal in a language you aren't fluent in. I particularly remember working with a Chinese co-worker at a programming job. He was pretty good at programming but the English in his comments sometimes needed work. He probably could have used a tool like this.
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #97 of 338: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 7 Jan 23 03:34
permalink #97 of 338: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 7 Jan 23 03:34
Since this is the WELL, it's pleasant to see a long paean to the benefits of psychedelics, but this isn't an era that's about "mind-expanding drugs." It's an era that's all about "pain-erasing drugs," namely opioids, and the body-count there is spectacular. They make psylocybin look as meek and harmless as Dr Brown's Celery Soda. It's also interesting -- from a US perspective -- that synthetic opioids don't come from abroad, and they're not favored by some louche subculture, and you can't dance to them, and they're not at all romantic. You look at the Americans dropping dead of opioids, it's about 100K a year, especially in locales like West Virginia, Kentucky, Ohio, Tennessee -- it's red-state hicks and rust-belt characters that nobody would praise for avant-garde, dangerous, edgy living. You have to wonder how many Americans bolt down opioids and are also really squeamish about the health pericls of vaccination. These two habits are linked somehow. It's a lot easier to believe in evil antivax when Big Pharma has poisoned some of your relatives.
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #98 of 338: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 7 Jan 23 03:37
permalink #98 of 338: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 7 Jan 23 03:37
I've been hoping that President Ilves will arrive here to brief us on Europe's land-war situation, but he's been in the hospital for ten days with Covid. We can all hope he rallies enough to reach the keyboard. This is some kinda decade, folks.
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #99 of 338: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 7 Jan 23 03:40
permalink #99 of 338: Bruce Sterling (bruces) Sat 7 Jan 23 03:40
*I'd heard of VUCA VUCA [volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity], but I have to confess that BANI (Brittle Anxious Nonlinear Incomprehensible) is a complete novelty to me. The WELL State of the World, ladies and gentlemen -- always something edifying!
inkwell.vue.522
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State of the World 2023: Bruce Sterling and Jon Lebkowsky
permalink #100 of 338: Emily Gertz (emilyg) Sat 7 Jan 23 06:18
permalink #100 of 338: Emily Gertz (emilyg) Sat 7 Jan 23 06:18
Jon wrote, "They're proving that they can disrupt the proceedings, I'm sure that's a boost. I'm sure they assume they're asserting power, not ignorance. One thing they're making clear is that there's just twenty of them." Yet much like Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) in the last session, they will gain power well in excess of how many people or whatever narrow slice of U.S. hopes and dreams and needs that they represent. (These people may make even Rupert Murdoch nervous, although they make his avatar Tucker very happy.) This means that the whole world is suffering from the destructive impacts of the margins of U.S. political power. Manchin's motivations are far from Brittle Anxious Nonlinear or Incomprehensible: personal gain and donor service. Because a sincere senator from West Virginia would be working 48 hours a day to get West Virginian coal miners and their families and communities however many billions they will need to survive decently in a post-coal era, instead of doing his part to push the energy transition into the second half of the century. I'm honestly surprised (yet abashed at how surprised) that The New York Times' reporting on Manchin's corruption had so little impact. (Link below because it's so gnarly.) Whereas the Fascist Caucus' motivations are at their core anti-revolutionary and racist: Move fast, break the government, restore strongman rule, perpetuate White Power. I'm white, but a Jew by birth, so this situation certainly makes me feel Brittle and Anxious. As an aside, I learned recently via my Mosaic lessons that citizens of the USA are, or can be, called "estadounidenses" in Latin American Spanish. This makes tons of sense to me, so speaking as a journalist who makes her living as an editor these days, I'm going to do my best to use "U.S. citizens" or "residents of the U.S." or similar instead of "Americans" henceforth. <https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/27/climate/manchin-coal-climate-conflicts.html ?unlocked_article_code=NEN2ope0lNCVL-imQVBHxuRNC3y8NIghZl15CKoR9OAfghdXWt3ABwH uwSegdy7VeApZgj9aCHoGh6plNIinyPZYbwLC7g5MV4i7ng_QhI62YRkLq_ODyJZPvDJEWsprJl7UQ _mnQHuQr20_iYMewiodqk4uTDNJqa9qY7bCCSyENTNIdhFzu4zBtZZYPbhfxmTcHVvzUssTSwnP144 ypQSKbTHSRWB-J3ezGcV8mh0w1PB7qoXWgqUtb5TnnaVh-92tqXop1JFJuYB9cwY32IqNjhAeo6w6m kSuEl9I3e5EOvjdNkvKAgcgOSkZwhw2vsjm27ul1oA4ihq8xLt7TjPsvbRvzYUR&smid=share-url >
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