>jnfr: You can't get statehood through the Senate. Not in the 117th, perhaps. We get a whole new Senate in less than a year. >jnfr:What next? There are 20 GOP Senate seats in the hazard this cycle, five undefended by incumbents. Dems should take half of them. One solution to the filibuster perplex is to hold 60 seats.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #352 of 468: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Fri 14 Jan 22 10:06
permalink #352 of 468: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Fri 14 Jan 22 10:06
<ggg>: Heather Cox Richardson just published good/scary info about the Oath Keepers... "The Justice Department indicted Oath Keepers leader [Elmer] Stewart Rhodes III and 10 other members of the Oath Keepers, a far-right antigovernment militia that specializes in recruiting veterans, for a number of crimes including seditious conspiracy in relation to the January 6 insurrection. Sedition is the crime of inciting a revolt against the government, and these men allegedly established training sessions and areas for staging equipment around Washington, D.C., before the insurrection to support an attack on that day. They also brought knives, tactical vests, radio equipment, and so on, to the Capitol on January 6. "Rhodes stated that, should Biden assume the office of the presidency, 'We will have to do a bloody, massively bloody revolution against them. Thats whats going to have to happen.' He wanted Trump to use military force to stop the transfer of presidential power. On Christmas Day, he messaged his co-conspirators about the January 6 joint session of Congress, 'We need to make those senators very uncomfortable with all of us being a few hundred feet away.... I think Congress will screw him [Trump] over. The only chance we/he has is if we scare the shit out of them and convince them it will be torches and pitchforks time is [sic] they dont do the right thing. But I dont think they will listen.' On December 31, he wrote: 'There is no standard political or legal way out of this.'"
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #353 of 468: Virtual Sea Monkey (karish) Fri 14 Jan 22 11:20
permalink #353 of 468: Virtual Sea Monkey (karish) Fri 14 Jan 22 11:20
The metaverse will allow Meta to see and record your every blink, eye movement, breath, and utterance. Santa Claus on steroids. <https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/01/13/privacy-vr-metaverse/>
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #354 of 468: Vinay Gupta (hexayurt) Fri 14 Jan 22 12:50
permalink #354 of 468: Vinay Gupta (hexayurt) Fri 14 Jan 22 12:50
This is why the blockchain people are so up in arms about stuff like Meta and fighting like hell for Decentraland: it is possible, at least in theory, to build the Metaverse as a peer to peer protocol where shared state is managed by the peers (on the blockchain) rather than having all the shared state being managed on corporate servers which also drag in all your telemetry and feed it to advertisers. That vision is roughly the same vision as RSS vs. Facebook. It's the eternal fight between "you do most of the work and get most of the control" and "you do none of the work, are are sold like potatoes." As we know that fight very strongly tends to wind up with people being sold like potatoes. But hope springs eternal and _maybe this time it's different_. Here's why. It's possible that The Metaverse (tm) winds up with a *utility* backbone - something as general-case as Ethereum or Bitcoin. That general case backbone is neutral: akin to ISPs obeying Net Neutrality as a principle. Big Dumb Blockchain. On top of Big Dumb Blockchain, a "Metaverse Protocol" which is basically HTML-meets-VR. You have a space, it speaks the Metaverse Protocol over the Big Dumb Blockchain, and the *value* in the ecosystem is created by an enormous myriad of little companies and hobbyists pumping out great little experiences. They get directly paid (by the minute?) via the Big Dumb Blockchain and are therefore not beholden to the App Store / Meta / Apple / Whoever. It's just about technically feasible. https://grayscale.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/grayscale-building-blocks-dec entraland-march-2021.pdf Look, there's running code! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rL09UfXvl6g If we could stop snarking about people making a lot of money from speculating on cartoon apes... maybe we could actually free the Metaverse. You know? Ready Player One?
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #355 of 468: Craig Maudlin (clm) Fri 14 Jan 22 13:58
permalink #355 of 468: Craig Maudlin (clm) Fri 14 Jan 22 13:58
We may be making a category mistake if we assume that "blockchain people" are likely to be immune from the moral temptations that will lead to what <karish> mentions in <353>.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #356 of 468: I was oilers1972, now going by (mct67) Fri 14 Jan 22 14:06
permalink #356 of 468: I was oilers1972, now going by (mct67) Fri 14 Jan 22 14:06
"We are where we are precisely because forces who consider themselves above it all are stoking hate and division. They seem to know how to leverage the chaos for their won benefit. Hate is a tool, hate is a weapon. Sowing division, they reap power." And most of all, sowing (or surfing on) fear, which I believe disguises itself as hate.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #357 of 468: I was oilers1972, now going by (mct67) Fri 14 Jan 22 14:09
permalink #357 of 468: I was oilers1972, now going by (mct67) Fri 14 Jan 22 14:09
"I'm not enough of a historian of these matters to know if the militiamen are drawing on the KKK heritage - is it the grandkids of the guys wearing white hoods in the 1950s?" Not all militias. Some are explicitly white supremacists, some are just anti-government, some are nationalists, etc.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #358 of 468: I was oilers1972, now going by (mct67) Fri 14 Jan 22 14:26
permalink #358 of 468: I was oilers1972, now going by (mct67) Fri 14 Jan 22 14:26
"A lot of these militia folks are well-educated middle-class Americans who should know better. Stewart Rhodes, founder and leader of the Oath Keepers, is a lawyer and an army vet from Montana. What got into his head?" Just because one is educated doesn't necessarily mean one is compassionate (or at least tolerant) toward others. Education is a tool, like just about anything else, and it can be directed toward life-affirming or more venal or atavistic ends.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #359 of 468: Vinay Gupta (hexayurt) Fri 14 Jan 22 14:37
permalink #359 of 468: Vinay Gupta (hexayurt) Fri 14 Jan 22 14:37
Craig Maudlin: There's a reason RSS readers didn't carry advertising. Your code, your computer, your P2P network... it's just not going to broadcast the telemetry, any more than EMACS uploads what you type for spell checking. A FOSS Multiverse on blockchain *is* possible. I doubt it'll happen but that's not for technical reasons. It's for reasons of WILL.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #360 of 468: Emily Gertz (emilyg) Fri 14 Jan 22 14:49
permalink #360 of 468: Emily Gertz (emilyg) Fri 14 Jan 22 14:49
If human beings are our enemy then with whom are we to live? The answer that initially pops to mind: What if its not that simple? Im not a Sinophile, but I used my quick-study skills to credibly edit a few articles about politics or religion under Xi last year. So for whatever its worth: If I were Taiwan, Id look at whats happened in Hong Kong, Xinjiang and the South China Sea over the past few years, and worry.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #361 of 468: Craig Maudlin (clm) Fri 14 Jan 22 15:46
permalink #361 of 468: Craig Maudlin (clm) Fri 14 Jan 22 15:46
Re: <359> One important sort of category mistake might occur when we ascribe to a technology certain characteristics that are really just the result of human choices. If you haven't seen ads delivered via RSS, you've been lucky -- or you stopped using RSS before the ads started to appear. It also took quite a while before ads began to be delivered via email, as I recall. But, as with email, there's nothing about RSS tech that *prevents* ads. > Your code, your computer, your P2P network... it's just not going to > broadcast the telemetry, ... I think there was a time we might have said something similar about "Your TV" -- but now we know that TVs can and do collect and broadcast quite a bit of telemetry. > A FOSS Multiverse on blockchain *is* possible. I completely agree -- and, as you say, it's even been done.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #362 of 468: Brian Slesinsky (bslesins) Fri 14 Jan 22 15:52
permalink #362 of 468: Brian Slesinsky (bslesins) Fri 14 Jan 22 15:52
Vinay, Im wondering which blockchain people you enjoy reading, and where do conversations take place? Is via Twitter or do they usually happen elsewhere?
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #363 of 468: Vinay Gupta (hexayurt) Fri 14 Jan 22 17:03
permalink #363 of 468: Vinay Gupta (hexayurt) Fri 14 Jan 22 17:03
So it used to be Twitter and Medium, but I don't know where it is now. Pandemic took me out of the conference circuit, so I don't get the face-to-face pointers these days. Back soon I hope! Andreas Antonopoulos is great. Emin Gun Sirer is great. Vitalik is great. Joe Lubin is great (he's the spitting image of Lex Luthor, if you're wondering, but is a lovely man as far as I know). Ian Grigg, obviously - inventor of the Ricardian Contract. Stephen Diehl if you want a critic (an old friend). Nick Szabo, although covid seems to have tilted him at an odd angle. Older material like The Playdoh Protocols. Satoshi. Stani from AAVE. Stan Stalnaker of Hub Culture/Ven. I feel like this is basically a Classics syllabus given how fast the field is moving.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #364 of 468: Jennifer Powell (jnfr) Fri 14 Jan 22 18:44
permalink #364 of 468: Jennifer Powell (jnfr) Fri 14 Jan 22 18:44
I will definitely be fighting for Senate seats this year.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #365 of 468: Brian Slesinsky (bslesins) Fri 14 Jan 22 20:51
permalink #365 of 468: Brian Slesinsky (bslesins) Fri 14 Jan 22 20:51
Ricardian contract is new to me. A search brings up several web pages defining it, which I only sort of get. Do they actually exist, or is it just a theoretical construct? If theyre real, it might be interesting to see an example of one in use.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #366 of 468: Vinay Gupta (hexayurt) Sat 15 Jan 22 02:14
permalink #366 of 468: Vinay Gupta (hexayurt) Sat 15 Jan 22 02:14
Brian: Here is an NFT on OpenSea which gives the owner the right to physically take delivery of a 1oz gold bar currently vaulted in Singapore, or its financial value. https://opensea.io/assets/0x495f947276749ce646f68ac8c248420045cb7b5e/478243877 05324153400210554042155132922682187088261737780213014306821163188225 When this NFT is purchased, each new buyer pays 2% of the value of the NFT for a set of six Ricardian contracts, each signed by a real-world legal entity with a bank account, corporate registration documents etc. Actual companies, including my own, which orchestrates the legal-technical interface work. The payments happen on chain, and the proof of payment (a digital signature on the blockchain, authorizing the payment) constitutes acceptance of the contract: a service is offered, accepted, and paid for in a single transaction. You can see this suite of contracts here: https://passport.mattereum.com/ntfa.20210319.20.alpha.004.619263/ Each warranty offer protects the Real World Asset gold bullion NFT buyer against a different class of risks. Together they form a sort of "legal testudo" - providing a relatively secure armoured shell to protect the assertion that the NFT buyer **actually gets the gold** or equivalent financial value in a very broad range of contingencies. Over time, obviously we'll add more and more protection in layers to get closer to 100% protection over time. Here is the full legal text of one of the Ricardian contracts: https://passport.mattereum.com/ntfa.20210319.20.alpha.004.619263/06_carbon/ass ets/out/certification-contract.html This one is a contract between the NFT owner and my company, which guarantees that we have bought-and-retired carbon credits to cover the physical mining of the gold bullion that is being sold. It also covers the CO2 emissions of the NFT issuing process. Clause 20 has the arbitration machinery. We've worked fairly closely with the UK government on arbitration rules for blockchain asset disputes. https://www.pinsentmasons.com/out-law/news/new-dispute-rules-envisage-direct-t o-blockchain-enforcement-arbitral-decisions The rules themselves are here: https://35z8e83m1ih83drye280o9d1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/20 21/04/Lawtech_DDRR_Final.pdf We get a name check on page 4. So what's being built out here is a very tightly bound legal framework for buying and selling physical goods, with suites of Ricardian contracts creating legally-enforceable claims about what the goods are **DRAWN ON THIRD PARTIES**. Those third parties do not benefit from the sale of the goods themselves, they make a living providing legal warranties on the goods - they're essentially third party inspectors with no economic interest in the situation other than by selling insurance on the fact that something (for example) contains no slave labour. We work with a world class anti-slavery expert on a long term project to drive slavery out of the supply chain using exactly these kinds of certification protocols. I would estimate it will be two years before we are doing this at an industrial scale - it is very complicated - but the will is overwhelming and the technical, legal and slavery-prevention expertise is sufficient. We are going to do this, do it right, and do it at scale. It took us a couple of years to get CO2 done, and now all the NFTs we produce attached are fully offset. We also took the entire Avalanche blockchain Net Zero CO2 last year. https://podcast.mattereum.com/episodes/ending-slavery-with-technology-social-m ovements-with-helen-burrows/transcript You can read more about our anti-slavery work here. https://passport.mattereum.com/ntfa.20210319.20.alpha.004.619263/ The objective is to produce a trade commons: a circular economy ("on the blockchain") in which all goods are fully CO2 offset, slavery free, and nearly everything has been used before and is being passed around and used, repaired and re-repaired, until it is genuinely done. We think that will produce both higher quality of life, and *dramatically* reduced environmental impact from that quality of life. I've put this stuff here in quite some detail to really illustrate the point: Ricardian contracts are extremely powerful tools for creating the world you want if they are applied diligently and intelligently to real-world problems. It is an act of will: you have to *push* in that direction to get the blockchain to behave this way. Otherwise, if you don't, it's a lazy beast that follows the path of least resistance, and you get very expensive cartoon-monkey-wearing-a-hat jpegs.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #367 of 468: George Mokray (jonl) Sat 15 Jan 22 07:11
permalink #367 of 468: George Mokray (jonl) Sat 15 Jan 22 07:11
Via email from George Mokray: (bslesins) #318 "There seems to be precedent for American acceptance and tolerance of higher levels of violence without society breaking down?" A thousand deaths and more a day from COVID in USAmerica is now taken in stride, barely mentioned on the news. Welcome to the behavioral sink.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #368 of 468: Emily Gertz (emilyg) Sat 15 Jan 22 08:26
permalink #368 of 468: Emily Gertz (emilyg) Sat 15 Jan 22 08:26
Also, George, I think whether or not society is stable can be both subjective and situational experiences. Whether were at peace is all relative to how far you live from the front, you know? When you start to delve into the data on structural inequities in the U.S. Ive been editing stories explaining the chronic health disparities between whites and most minorities, for example it is obvious that society has yet to function consistently well for millions of people. In terms of perception, Rush Limbaugh rose on his talent for twisting a small bit of progress on LGBTQ+ or womens rights, for example, into a towering sign that society was breaking down right around straight white males. Then, with globalization, its arguable that society really did start breaking down around millions of white working class people, as manufacturing fled to cheap labor and laissez-faire regulation overseas. The powers that be had deemed them and their families extraneous to the economy and society, and they knew it.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #369 of 468: Vinay Gupta (hexayurt) Sat 15 Jan 22 08:38
permalink #369 of 468: Vinay Gupta (hexayurt) Sat 15 Jan 22 08:38
Emily: Yeah. Skin tone vs. life expectancy is one of those charts which **should** exist, but nobody with the data will present it. Literally just pantone colors down one side, and life-years down the other, for the entire global population. I really appreciate the focus you are bringing to this reality.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #370 of 468: Brian Slesinsky (bslesins) Sat 15 Jan 22 09:36
permalink #370 of 468: Brian Slesinsky (bslesins) Sat 15 Jan 22 09:36
<366> thanks for the detailed explanation! It might be good to put something like that on your website as an introduction for those of us catching up. <367> The bit about "barely mentioned in the news" irks me. I find it odd to pretend that the top news story of the past two years, often with its own dedicated newspaper section and daily updated statistics page where you can look at the death rate at any time, broken down to state and county levels, is somehow undercovered. There are good and bad news stories but overall, journalists have done a great job on this one and as a news junkie I could hardly ask for more. I wish I could find better charts and analysis for other news stories I'm interested in.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #371 of 468: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Sat 15 Jan 22 09:59
permalink #371 of 468: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Sat 15 Jan 22 09:59
I agree with <bslesins> - most of the coverage of Covid has been excellent and informative, though confusing. The confusion is not attributable to the news organizations, but to the actual work of science in action - we've watched how a novel phenomenon is studied and how thinking changes as research continues and new facts emerge. Because news is so immediate, we've seen the evolution of scientific thinking as it happens. Anyone seeking authoritative and unchanging explanations have been, not just disappointed, but in many cases confused and pissed off. Science is a disciplined approach to knowledge, but it is not a source of ultimate truth. Rather, it's a method of inquiry and evolved understanding through ongoing research. Speaking for myself, from following Covid so closely for the last couple of years, I've learned not just a lot about the specific disease, but a lot about epidemiology, public health practices, how diseases evolve and how they spread. I'm thankful for the coverage, and uncertain how to address the unfortunate problem of pervasive misunderstanding, especially as it's aggressively politicized.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #372 of 468: Virtual Sea Monkey (karish) Sat 15 Jan 22 10:12
permalink #372 of 468: Virtual Sea Monkey (karish) Sat 15 Jan 22 10:12
<hexayurt>: "nobody with the data will present it" is false. Those graphs are readily available. The Census Bureau publishes all the numbers, current and historical, for every community in the US. It's easy to search for that information.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #373 of 468: those Andropovian bongs (rik) Sat 15 Jan 22 10:13
permalink #373 of 468: those Andropovian bongs (rik) Sat 15 Jan 22 10:13
The point that seems to be lost in this conversation is that the confusion is a direct result of deliberate campaign of misinformation by the administration. Trump knew it was going to be bad, but made a calculation that the proven steps to prevent pandemic infection would be far too costly, would hurt the economy, and at that point in time, the DOW was his big selling poing for re-election. And he decided to kill people in order to get re-elected. Once he compromised the CDC, and sabotaged Fauci, there has been no place to get clear, clean, and trustworthy information.
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #374 of 468: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Sat 15 Jan 22 10:20
permalink #374 of 468: Jon Lebkowsky (jonl) Sat 15 Jan 22 10:20
<rik> That's what I meant when I said "especially as it's aggressively politicized." But you're correct in that, more than exploiting misunderstanding, Trumpists were adding to and encouraging it...
inkwell.vue.516
:
State of the World 2022
permalink #375 of 468: those Andropovian bongs (rik) Sat 15 Jan 22 10:33
permalink #375 of 468: those Andropovian bongs (rik) Sat 15 Jan 22 10:33
Yes, but "adding to it and encouraging it" misses the point that he began it. This is the big story. Trump knew what he was doing and literally chose to kill people in pursuit of power.
Members: Enter the conference to participate. All posts made in this conference are world-readable.